# Sources & References

*Compiled March 18, 2026*

This document collects all primary sources referenced across the research documents in this project, organized by category.

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## Think Tanks & Policy Research

### CSIS (Center for Strategic and International Studies)
- [Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Series](https://chinapower.csis.org/series-fourth-taiwan-strait-crisis/)
- [China Escalates Cross-Strait Military Activity Under Lai](https://www.csis.org/analysis/china-escalates-cross-strait-military-activity-under-taiwan-president-william-lai)
- [Joint Sword 2024B and Coast Guard Analysis](https://chinapower.csis.org/china-taiwan-joint-sword-2024b-coast-guard/)
- [Tracking China's Increased Military Activities 2025](https://chinapower.csis.org/china-increased-military-activities-indo-pacific-2025/)
- [First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (2023)](https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan)
- [Lights Out? Wargaming a Chinese Blockade of Taiwan (2025)](https://www.csis.org/analysis/lights-out-wargaming-chinese-blockade-taiwan)
- [How China Could Blockade Taiwan](https://features.csis.org/chinapower/china-blockade-taiwan/)
- [Signals in the Swarm: China's Maritime Gray Zone Campaign](https://www.csis.org/analysis/signals-swarm-data-behind-chinas-maritime-gray-zone-campaign-near-taiwan)
- [Where Chips Fall: US Export Controls Under Biden 2022-2024](https://www.csis.org/analysis/where-chips-fall-us-export-controls-under-biden-administration-2022-2024)
- [China Gives Huawei the Steering Wheel](https://www.csis.org/analysis/chip-race-china-gives-huawei-steering-wheel-huaweis-new-smartphone-and-future)
- [China's New Rare Earth and Magnet Restrictions](https://www.csis.org/analysis/chinas-new-rare-earth-and-magnet-restrictions-threaten-us-defense-supply-chains)
- [The AUKUS Inflection: Seizing the Opportunity to Deliver Deterrence](https://www.csis.org/analysis/aukus-inflection-seizing-opportunity-deliver-deterrence)
- [What Is the US "One China" Policy](https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-us-one-china-policy-and-why-does-it-matter)
- [Philippine Upgrades at EDCA Sites](https://amti.csis.org/more-than-meets-the-eye-philippine-upgrades-at-edca-sites/)
- [Shifting Tactics at Second Thomas Shoal](https://amti.csis.org/shifting-tactics-at-second-thomas-shoal/)
- [Surveying the Experts: US-China Relations Entering 2026](https://chinapower.csis.org/survey-experts-us-china-relations-2026/)
- [Understanding Global South Perspectives on Taiwan](https://www.csis.org/analysis/understanding-global-south-perspectives-taiwan)
- [Building International Support for Taiwan](https://www.csis.org/analysis/building-international-support-taiwan)
- [Respond to Inauguration of Taiwan William Lai Joint Sword 2024A](https://chinapower.csis.org/china-respond-inauguration-taiwan-william-lai-joint-sword-2024a-military-exercise/)

### RAND Corporation
- [Denial Without Disaster: Keeping a U.S.-China Conflict Under the Nuclear Threshold](https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA2312-1.html)
- [Could Sanctions Help Deter China from Attacking Taiwan?](https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA4022-1.html)
- [Building Taiwan's Resilience](https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3388-1.html)
- [Historical Analysis of a True Invasion of Taiwan (December 2024)](https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2024/12/a-historical-analysis-of-a-true-invasion-of-taiwan.html)

### Brookings Institution
- [What Happened When Trump Met Xi](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-happened-when-trump-met-xi/)
- [How China Reads the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-china-reads-the-2025-u-s-national-security-strategy/)
- [America's Narrative on Taiwan Needs an Update](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/americas-narrative-on-taiwan-needs-an-update/)

### Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)
- [Five Takeaways From CFR's 2026 Conflict Risk Assessment](https://www.cfr.org/articles/five-takeaways-cfrs-2026-conflict-risk-assessment)
- [Conflicts to Watch in 2026](https://www.cfr.org/report/conflicts-watch-2026)
- [The Next Taiwan Crisis Won't Be Like the Last](https://www.cfr.org/report/next-taiwan-crisis-wont-be-last)
- [Meeting Low Expectations: Biden-Xi Bali Summit](https://www.cfr.org/blog/meeting-low-expectations-analyzing-president-bidens-summit-chinese-president-xi-jinping)

### Global Taiwan Institute
- [One Year Later: Military Pressure Since Pelosi Visit](https://globaltaiwan.org/2023/09/one-year-later-how-has-chinas-military-pressure-on-taiwan-changed-since-nancy-pelosis-visit/)
- [Military Exercise Trends and Patterns](https://globaltaiwan.org/2024/10/chinas-military-exercises-around-taiwan-trends-and-patterns/)
- [Joint Sword-2024B Exercise](https://globaltaiwan.org/2024/10/the-joint-sword-2024b-exercise/)
- [PLA Strait Thunder Exercise 2025A](https://globaltaiwan.org/2025/04/the-plas-strait-thunder-exercise/)
- [PLA Justice Mission-2025](https://globaltaiwan.org/2026/01/pla-justice-mission-2025/)
- [Trump's Policy Toward Taiwan](https://globaltaiwan.org/2026/01/trumps-policy-toward-taiwan/)
- [Taiwan's Missile Programs](https://globaltaiwan.org/2024/10/taiwans-missile-programs/)

### Other Think Tanks
- [Stimson Center: Rethinking the Threat -- Why China is Unlikely to Invade Taiwan](https://www.stimson.org/2025/rethinking-the-threat-why-china-is-unlikely-to-invade-taiwan/)
- [Stimson Center: Economic Coercion from the PRC](https://www.stimson.org/2025/economic-coercion-from-the-peoples-republic-of-china/)
- [ASPI: Xi's Taiwan Scorecard -- Why 2026 Is Not the Year](https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/xis-taiwan-scorecard-why-2026-is-not-the-year/)
- [ASPI: Taiwan Has 12 Diplomatic Partners Left](https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/taiwan-has-12-diplomatic-partners-left-wholl-drop-it-next/)
- [Lowy Institute: PLA 2027 Milestones](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/china-taiwan-pla-s-2027-milestones)
- [Lowy Institute: Deterrence and Alliance Power -- Why AUKUS Submarines Matter](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/deterrence-alliance-power-why-aukus-submarines-matter-how-they-can-be-delivered)
- [Lowy Institute: A Respite for the Sierra Madre](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/respite-sierra-madre-philippines-china-tensions-remain)
- [Atlantic Council: Experts React to Trump-Xi Meeting](https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/experts-react/experts-react-what-does-the-trump-xi-meeting-mean-for-trade-technology-security-and-beyond/)
- [Atlantic Council: Convergence and Divergence in US and EU Policies on China](https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/report/convergence-and-divergence-in-us-and-eu-policies-on-china/)
- [CNAS: The Export Control Loophole Fueling China's Chip Production](https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/cnas-insights-the-export-control-loophole-fueling-chinas-chip-production)
- [Defence Priorities: Target Taiwan -- Challenges for a US Intervention](https://www.defensepriorities.org/explainers/target-taiwan-challenges-for-a-us-intervention/)
- [FDD: Chinese Coercion of Taiwan's Energy Lifelines](https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2025/11/17/chinese-coercion-of-taiwans-energy-lifelines-a-contest-taiwan-and-the-west-cant-afford-to-lose/)
- [FDD: Trump Administration Approves Massive Arms Sale to Taiwan](https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2025/12/18/trump-administration-approves-massive-arms-sale-package-to-taiwan/)
- [Quincy Institute: Beyond Strategic Ambiguity](https://quincyinst.org/research/beyond-strategic-ambiguity-supporting-taiwan-without-a-commitment-to-war/)
- [German Marshall Fund: If China Attacks Taiwan](https://www.gmfus.org/sites/default/files/2026-01/If%20China%20Attacks%20Taiwan.pdf)
- [Prospect Foundation: Exercise Pattern Analysis](https://www.pf.org.tw/en/pfen/33-11119.html)
- [Jamestown Foundation: Strait Thunder 2025A Analysis](https://jamestown.org/strait-thunder-2025a-drill-implies-future-increase-in-pla-pressure-on-taiwan/)

---

## Government & Official Sources

### US Government
- [Pentagon 2025 China Military Power Report](https://media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/23/2003849070/-1/-1/1/ANNUAL-REPORT-TO-CONGRESS-MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA-2025.PDF)
- [White House: Trump-China Trade Deal Fact Sheet](https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/11/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-strikes-deal-on-economic-and-trade-relations-with-china/)
- [Quad Foreign Ministers' Joint Statement (July 2025)](https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/07/joint-statement-from-the-quad-foreign-ministers-meeting-in-washington)
- [Congress.gov: CRS Report on US Export Controls and China](https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48642)
- [Congress.gov: Taiwan Defense Issues for Congress](https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48044)
- [Congress.gov: China-Philippines Tensions](https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF12550)

### Other Government Sources
- [Australian DFAT: The Quad](https://www.dfat.gov.au/international-relations/regional-architecture/quad)
- [Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: Economic Effects of Armed Conflict Over Taiwan](https://www.stlouisfed.org/-/media/project/frbstl/stlouisfed/publications/review/pdfs/2025/feb/economic-effects-of-potential-armed-conflict-over-taiwan.pdf)

---

## Major News Sources

### Wire Services & Broadcasters
- [NPR: China fires missile strikes over Taiwan Strait](https://www.npr.org/2022/08/04/1115550972/china-taiwan-missile-exercises)
- [NPR: Supreme Court Upholds TikTok Ban](https://www.npr.org/2025/01/17/nx-s1-5258396/supreme-court-upholds-tiktok-ban)
- [NPR: $10B Arms Sale](https://www.npr.org/2025/12/18/nx-s1-5648080/us-arms-sales-taiwan-10-billion)
- [Al Jazeera: China military exercises](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/4/china-to-start-major-military-drills-around-taiwan)
- [Al Jazeera: Japan Record Defence Budget](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/26/japan-govt-greenlights-record-58bn-defence-budget-amid-regional-tension)
- [Al Jazeera: US Approves $11B Arms Sales](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/18/us-approves-11bn-in-arms-sales-to-taiwan-in-deal-likely-to-anger-china)
- [PBS: Biden-Xi Lima Meeting](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/watch-biden-meets-with-chinas-xi-for-final-time-on-sidelines-of-apec-summit)
- [PBS: Japan Defence Budget](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/japans-cabinet-approves-record-defense-budget-aiming-to-deter-china-as-tensions-grow)
- [CNN: Justice Mission 2025](https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/28/china/china-taiwan-military-drills-hnk-intl)
- [CNN: TikTok Signs US Sale Deal](https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/18/tech/tiktok-signs-us-sale-deal)

### Business & Financial Press
- [CNBC: Taiwan 2024 Election](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/13/taiwan-2024-election-dpps-lai-ching-te-wins.html)
- [CNBC: Biden-Xi San Francisco](https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/15/xi-biden-at-apec-summit-china-us-leaders-meet-in-san-francisco.html)
- [CNBC: China Won the 2025 Trade Battle](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/31/trump-china-trade-war-tariffs.html)
- [CNBC: ASML 2025 Outlook and China Sales](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/16/asml-2025-outlook-shows-us-chip-export-curbs-impacting-china-sales.html)
- [Bloomberg Economics: The $10 Trillion Fight (February 2026)](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-10/the-10-trillion-fight-modeling-a-us-china-war-over-taiwan)
- [Bloomberg: Huawei and SMIC Make Progress (December 2025)](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/china-s-huawei-and-smic-make-progress-with-chips-report-finds)
- [Fortune: Tariffs and Trade Deficit](https://fortune.com/2026/02/20/trump-tariffs-trade-deficit-china-decoupling-exports-imports/)

### Defence & Security Press
- [Defence News: Chinese Drill as Blockade Test Run](https://www.defensenews.com/global/asia-pacific/2026/01/08/chinese-drill-near-taiwan-seen-as-test-run-for-blockade-message-to-us/)
- [Defence News: Davidson Window](https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2024/05/07/how-dc-became-obsessed-with-a-potential-2027-chinese-invasion-of-taiwan/)
- [Defence News: Taiwan Reform Challenges](https://www.defensenews.com/opinion/2025/06/13/taiwans-military-reform-is-failing-where-it-matters-most/)
- [Defence News: $10B+ Arms Package](https://www.defensenews.com/global/asia-pacific/2025/12/18/us-preps-massive-weapons-package-for-taiwan-valued-at-over-10-billion/)
- [USNI News: Justice Mission Drills](https://news.usni.org/2025/12/31/china-wraps-justice-mission-taiwan-blockade-drills)
- [USNI News: Type 076 Sea Trial](https://news.usni.org/2025/11/14/next-generation-chinese-amphibious-assault-ship-holds-first-sea-trial)
- [USNI News: Pentagon Annual Report](https://news.usni.org/2025/12/24/pentagon-annual-report-on-chinese-military-and-security-developments-2)
- [USNI News: Taiwan $40B Defence Supplemental](https://news.usni.org/2025/11/26/taiwan-rolls-out-40b-defense-supplemental-to-fund-air-defense-asymmetric-capabilities)
- [Breaking Defense: 2026 Indo-Pacific Preview](https://breakingdefense.com/2026/01/china-to-once-again-dominate-the-headlines-2026-preview-for-the-indo-pacific/)
- [Breaking Defense: China Military Buildup Leaves US Vulnerable](https://breakingdefense.com/2025/12/china-military-buildup-leaves-us-increasingly-vulnerable-pentagon-report/)
- [War on the Rocks: Pentagon Report Analysis](https://warontherocks.com/2026/01/latest-pentagon-report-chinas-military-advancing-amid-churn/)
- [War on the Rocks: Deterrence Won't Fail -- It Will Be Bypassed](https://warontherocks.com/2026/02/deterrence-wont-fail-in-the-taiwan-strait-it-will-be-bypassed/)
- [Naval News: US Navy FONOP at Scarborough Shoal](https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2025/08/u-s-navy-holds-south-china-sea-fonop-at-scarborough-shoal/)
- [Navy Lookout: AUKUS Submarine Programme](https://www.navylookout.com/aukus-submarine-programme-progress-pressure-and-realities/)

### Regional Press
- [The Diplomat: Trump China Trip 2026](https://thediplomat.com/2026/03/trumps-china-trip-3-possible-deliverables/)
- [The Diplomat: Taiwan Conscription](https://thediplomat.com/2025/04/taiwan-races-to-scale-up-revamped-conscription-program-before-2027/)
- [The Diplomat: Japan Defence Budget](https://thediplomat.com/2025/12/japan-accelerates-defense-buildup-with-record-budget-and-expanded-unmanned-capabilities/)
- [The Diplomat: Wolf Warrior Diplomacy Origins](https://thediplomat.com/2026/02/where-did-chinas-wolf-warrior-diplomacy-come-from-and-where-did-it-go/)
- [The Diplomat: How US Allies Approach Taiwan](https://thediplomat.com/2026/02/how-us-allies-approach-taiwan-and-influence-us-taiwan-policy)
- [South China Morning Post: Type 075 LHD Analysis](https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3340410/type-075-amphibious-assault-ship-plas-light-aircraft-carrier-key-taiwan)
- [South China Morning Post: Dutch Exports to China Tumble](https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3306481/dutch-exports-china-tumble-chip-machine-giant-asml-clears-back-orders-amid-us-bans)
- [Nikkei Asia](https://asia.nikkei.com/)
- [Asia Times: China-Japan Wolf Warrior Row](https://asiatimes.com/2026/01/china-japan-row-signals-new-era-of-wolf-warrior-diplomacy/)
- [Asia Times: US Revives Island Airfields](https://asiatimes.com/2026/01/as-china-sharpens-pacific-kill-chain-us-revives-island-airfields/)
- [Taipei Times: PLA Rocket and Missile Threat](https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2025/06/23/2003839076)
- [Japan Times: Missile Deployments](https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/03/10/asia-pacific/taiwan-japan-philippines-us-missiles/)
- [Taiwan News: Davidson Window](https://taiwannews.com.tw/news/6270427)
- [Focus Taiwan: DF-17 Deployments](https://focustaiwan.tw/cross-strait/202510030019)
- [Focus Taiwan: Pentagon on Full Attack Option](https://focustaiwan.tw/cross-strait/202512250004)

---

## Trade & Economics Sources

- [Tax Foundation: 2026 Trump Tariffs Tracker](https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-trade-war/)
- [PIIE: Trump-China Trade Wars Five Takeaways](https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trump-china-trade-wars-five-takeaways-us-imports-2025)
- [PIIE: China No Longer Buys US Exports](https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-no-longer-buys-us-exports-drawing-right-lessons-next-trump-xi)
- [China Briefing: US-China Relations Timeline](https://www.china-briefing.com/news/us-china-relations-in-the-trump-2-0-implications/)
- [China US Focus: Trade Lessons for 2026](https://www.chinausfocus.com/finance-economy/china-us-trade-lessons-for-2026)
- [IMF: The Price of De-Risking Working Paper](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/wp/2024/english/wpiea2024122-print-pdf.pdf)
- [IEA: Critical Minerals Supply Concentration Risks](https://www.iea.org/commentaries/with-new-export-controls-on-critical-minerals-supply-concentration-risks-become-reality)

---

## Technology & Semiconductor Sources

- [TechInsights: SMIC 7nm in Huawei Mate 60 Pro](https://www.techinsights.com/blog/techinsights-finds-smic-7nm-n2-huawei-mate-60-pro)
- [IEEE Spectrum: TSMC Arizona Plant](https://spectrum.ieee.org/tsmc-arizona)
- [Manufacturing Dive: Major Factory Projects 2026](https://www.manufacturingdive.com/news/major-factory-construction-projects-to-watch-in-2026/809448/)
- [Morgan Lewis: BIS Revises Export Review Policy](https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2026/01/bis-revises-export-review-policy-for-advanced-ai-chips-destined-for-china-and-macau)
- [East Asia Forum: US Chip Export Controls Have Cooled Down](https://eastasiaforum.org/2026/03/11/us-chip-export-controls-have-cooled-down/)
- [MIT Technology Review: Taiwan's Silicon Shield Weakening](https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/08/15/1121358/taiwan-silicon-shield-tsmc-china-chip-manufacturing/)
- [Taiwan Insight: TSMC -- The Enduring Silicon Shield](https://taiwaninsight.org/2025/05/12/tsmc-the-enduring-silicon-shield-of-taiwans-economy/)
- [Economics Observatory: China's Semiconductor Industry](https://www.economicsobservatory.com/whats-happening-in-chinas-semiconductor-industry)
- [Yole Group: China's Five-Year Plan and Semiconductors](https://www.yolegroup.com/strategy-insights/chinas-next-move-the-five-year-plan-that-could-reshape-semiconductors/)
- [SiliconANGLE: SMIC Buys Subsidiary](https://siliconangle.com/2025/12/29/smic-buys-subsidiary-5-8b-chinas-chipmaking-progress-accelerates/)

---

## Legal Sources

- [SCOTUSblog: TikTok Ban Upheld](https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/01/supreme-court-upholds-tiktok-ban/)
- [White & Case: China Extraterritorial Rare Earth Controls](https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert/china-imposes-extraterritorial-jurisdiction-and-50-rule-export-controls-rare-earth)
- [Clark Hill: China Hits Pause on Rare Earth Export Controls](https://www.clarkhill.com/news-events/news/china-hits-pause-on-rare-earth-export-controls-and-what-it-means-for-supply-chains/)

---

## Academic & Journals

- [Foreign Affairs: A Perfect Storm for Taiwan in 2026?](https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/perfect-storm-taiwan-2026)
- [European Journal of International Relations: Cross-Strait Deterrence Stability (Yoder, 2025)](https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13691481251391641)
- [RUSI: Taiwan's Evolving Response to China's Grey Zone Actions](https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/policy-briefs/taiwans-evolving-response-chinas-grey-zone-actions)
- [JHU FAR: China's Gray-Zone Escalation and the US-Philippines Alliance](https://jhufar.com/2026/02/03/chinas-gray-zone-escalation-and-the-u-s-philippines-alliance-at-second-thomas-shoal/)
- [SAIS Review: South China Sea Powder Keg](https://saisreview.sais.jhu.edu/a-calm-before-the-storm-south-china-sea-powder-keg/)
- [Army University Press: PLA Rocket Force](https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Portals/7/military-review/Archives/English/JA-21/Mihal-PLA-Rocket-Force-v1.pdf)
- [CMSI Naval War College: Civilian Landing Craft in PLA Operations](https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cmsi-notes/18/)

---

## Military & Defence Industry

- [Army Recognition: Hai Kun Submarine Trials](https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/navy-news/2026/taiwans-first-indigenous-hai-kun-ss-711-submarine-completes-sixth-sea-trial)
- [Army Recognition: Harpoon Deployment to Taiwan](https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/navy-news/2025/taiwan-to-deploy-u-s-harpoon-missile-batteries-in-2026-to-deter-chinese-invasion)
- [Visual Capitalist: Comparing Armed Forces of China and Taiwan](https://www.visualcapitalist.com/comparing-the-armed-forces-of-china-and-taiwan/)
- [Defence Horizon Journal: Rethinking Defence of Taiwan](https://tdhj.org/blog/post/rethinking-defence-taiwan/)
- [Taiwan Security Monitor: Arms Sale Backlog Update](https://tsm.schar.gmu.edu/taiwan-arms-sale-backlog-september-2025-update-partial-deliveries-future-schedules-and-co-production-news/)

---

## Other Sources

- [Arms Control Association: China Reacts to Pelosi Visit](https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2022-09/news/china-reacts-aggressively-pelosis-taiwan-visit)
- [USIP: After Taiwan's Election -- China Ratcheting Pressure](https://www.usip.org/publications/2024/03/after-taiwans-election-china-now-ratcheting-pressure)
- [US-Taiwan.org: One China Policy vs One China Principle](https://www.us-taiwan.org/resources/faq-the-united-states-one-china-policy-is-not-the-same-as-the-prc-one-china-principle/)
- [ORF America: China's Rare Earth Export Restrictions](https://orfamerica.org/orf-america-comments/chinas-rare-earth-export-restrictions-triggered-diversification)
- [The Asia Group: US Politics and China 2025-2026](https://theasiagroup.com/us-domestic-politics-china-in-2025-2026/)
- [Responsible Statecraft: Taiwan Arms Sale Analysis](https://responsiblestatecraft.org/taiwan-china-us/)
- [East Asia Forum: China Remains Undeterred in the Grey Zone](https://eastasiaforum.org/2026/02/14/china-remains-undeterred-in-the-grey-zone/)
- [Wikipedia: Davidson Window](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davidson_window)
- [Wikipedia: Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth_Taiwan_Strait_Crisis)