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Essays · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-27 2026-03-01 Personal website of Gwern Branwen (writer, self-experimenter, and programmer): topics: psychology, statistics, technology, deep learning, anime. This index page is a categorized list of Gwern.net page
March 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-03-01 March 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
February 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-03-01 February 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-27 January 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
June 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-05-31 2026-02-25 June 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with 5 new essays; links on deep learning, history, technological/cultural evolution, & Scott Alexander; and 2 books & 1 movie review
May 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-04-26 2026-02-25 May 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with links on cloning, DRL, religion, parasites; 6 movie reviews.
January 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-12-18 2026-02-25 January 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with Danbooru2018 release announcement, links on genetic engineering, reinforcement learning, compression, and 3 book/movie reviews
August 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-07-21 2026-02-25 August 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with 2 short essays, a major new site features, and links on AI, progress, and technology; 1 short book review, and 2 long movie reviews on ‘Gone with the Wind’ and ‘S
March 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-02-28 2026-02-25 March 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with 3 writeups; links on genetics, ads, poetry; and 1 anime review, 1 opera review, and 1 movie review.
February 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-01-20 2026-02-25 February 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with 2 essays/projects, site improvements; links on genetics, AI, propaganda, and typography; and 1 opera review.
July 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-06-20 2026-02-25 July 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with links on science and history; 1 book review; and 7 movie/TV series reviews.
April 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-03-27 2026-02-25 April 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with links on AI, biology, SIGBOVIK, Dresden Codak; 1 book review, 3 movie reviews.
October 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-09-30 2026-02-25 October 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with links on DL scaling, SDAM, and public goods; 1 book and 2 opera reviews.
September 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-08-03 2026-02-25 September 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with 2 behavioral genetics analyses and links on AI text generation, Registered Reports, political polarization, and history of technology; 4 movie reviews.
December 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-11-21 2026-02-25 December 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with links on gene editing, the Replication Crisis, computer latency, and suffering; 4 book reviews, 2 opera/movie reviews, and 2 anime reviews.
November 2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-10-13 2026-02-25 November 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with 2 essays, links on PGD and AI scaling, disappearing polymorphs, and The Public Domain Review; 2 opera and 1 anime reviews.
2019 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-11-21 2026-02-25 Annual summary of 2019 Gwern.net newsletters, selecting my best writings, the best 2019 links by topic, and the best books/movies/anime I saw in 2019, with some general discussion of the year and the
June 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 June 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
May 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 May 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 January 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
August 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 August 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
March 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 March 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
February 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 February 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
July 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 July 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 April 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
October 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 October 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 September 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 December 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2027 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 November 2027 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
June 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 June 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with 3 new pages/essays, and links on CRISPR, population screening, AI scaling, politics, and technological unemployment.
May 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 May 2020 Gwern.net newsletter: GPT-3 scaling, implications, deep theory; anime GAN updates, and 1 book review.
January 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 January 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with 5 writeups, and links on AI scaling, videos-for-cats, and art; 1 book and 1 opera review.
August 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 August 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with an essay on sidenotes; links on human competence, efficient computing, and hardware overhangs; no reviews.
March 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 March 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with links on pandemics, politics, DL; one anime review.
February 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 February 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with links on AI scaling and disasters; 1 book, 1 movie, and 2 opera reviews.
July 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 July 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with links on the Uighurs, authoritarianism, negative emissions, AI overhang; 1 movie & 2 anime reviews.
April 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 April 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with links on music generation, data augmentation, terrorism, Matt Lakeman, and 1 documentary review.
October 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 October 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with links on AI scaling, Euclid; further site reorganization & improvement.
September 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 September 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with links on DRL and AI scaling, psychiatric disorders; no reviews.
2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2026-02-25 Annual summary of 2020 Gwern.net newsletters, selecting my best writings, the best 2020 links by topic, and the best books/movies/anime I saw in 2020, with some general discussion of the year.
June 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 June 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
May 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 May 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 January 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
August 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 August 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
March 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 March 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
February 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 February 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
July 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 July 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 April 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
October 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 October 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 September 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 December 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2029 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 November 2029 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
June 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 June 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
May 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 May 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 January 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
August 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 August 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
March 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 March 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
February 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 February 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
July 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 July 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 April 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
October 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 October 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 September 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 December 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2025 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 November 2025 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
June 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 June 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
May 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 May 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 January 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
August 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 August 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
March 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 March 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
February 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 February 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
July 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 July 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 April 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
October 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 October 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 September 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 December 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2028 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 November 2028 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
June 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 June 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with new site features/refactoring, and links on Codex, embryo selection, and gametogenesis.
May 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 May 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on AI hardware, diffusion models, optogenetics, brain scanning.
January 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 January 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on AI scaling up and down.
August 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 August 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on molecular recording, TODO
March 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 March 2021 Gwern.net newsletter; 2 major new site features: ‘popins’ and recursive Wikipedia popups.
February 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 February 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on AI scaling, semaglutide, and ethicist ethics.
July 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 July 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 April 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on AI scaling, particularly new East Asian record-breaking work & deep reinforcement learning.
October 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 October 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 September 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 December 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2020-01-02 2026-02-25 November 2021 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
2021 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2021-01-02 2026-02-25 Annual summary of 2021 Gwern.net newsletters, selecting my best writings, the best 2021 links by topic, and the best books/movies/anime I saw in 2021, with some general discussion of the year.
June 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 June 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
May 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 May 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 January 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
August 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 August 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
March 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 March 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
February 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 February 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
July 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 July 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 April 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
October 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 October 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 September 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 December 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 November 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
2024 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2024-01-01 2026-02-25 Annual summary of 2024 Gwern.net newsletters, selecting my best writings, the best 2024 links by topic, and the best books/movies/anime I saw in 2024, with some general discussion of the year.
June 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-05-20 2026-02-25
May 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-05-22 2026-02-25
January 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-02-01 2026-02-25
August 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-06-21 2026-02-25
March 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-04-01 2026-02-25
February 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-03-01 2026-02-25
July 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-06-21 2026-02-25
April 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-04-01 2026-02-25
October 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-09-29 2026-02-25
September 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-08-31 2026-02-25
December 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-11-30 2026-02-25
November 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-10-31 2026-02-25
2014 Year in Review · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-12-18 2026-02-25
June 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 June 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
May 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 May 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
August 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 August 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
July 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 July 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 April 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
October 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 October 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 September 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 December 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2026 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2025-01-25 2026-02-25 November 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
June 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 June 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
May 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 May 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 January 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
August 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 August 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
March 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 March 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
February 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 February 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
July 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 July 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 April 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
October 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 October 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 September 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 December 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-08 2026-02-25 November 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
2022 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2022-01-02 2026-02-25 Annual summary of 2022 Gwern.net newsletters, selecting my best writings, the best 2022 links by topic, and the best books/movies/anime I saw in 2022, with some general discussion of the year.
June 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-06-03 2026-02-25 June 2017 Gwern.net newsletter with links on dysgenics, genetics, AI, PC history, and 5 movie reviews
May 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-05-02 2026-02-25 May 2017 Gwern.net newsletter: deep reinforcement learning, music. No completed writings.
January 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-12-31 2026-02-25
August 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-07-17 2026-02-25 August 2017 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics, AI, measurement error, bioethics, catnip, formal schooling, 1 book review, 2 anime reviews
March 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-02-23 2026-02-25
February 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-01-19 2026-02-25
July 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-06-14 2026-02-25 July 2017 Gwern.net newsletter with links on intelligence, GANs, malaria, Borges’s essays, 2 book reviews
April 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-03-31 2026-02-25
October 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-09-08 2026-02-25 October 2017 Gwern.net newsletter with links on heritability, AlphaGo Zero, peer review, gifted-and-talented; 1 book & 1 movie review.
September 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-08-16 2026-02-25 September 2017 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics (GWAS, engineering, evolution), intelligence, AI, metformin, lithium; 2 book and 6 movie reviews
December 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-11-30 2026-02-25 December 2017 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics/AI/politics/psychology/biology/economics, 2 movie reviews and 1 anime review
November 2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-10-17 2026-02-25 November 2017 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics, reinforcement learning, psychology, economics; 2 book reviews, 1 movie review
2017 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-11-30 2026-02-25 Annual summary of 2017 Gwern.net newsletters, selecting my best writings, the best 2017 links by topic, and the best books/movies/anime I saw in 2017.
June 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-05-27 2026-02-25
May 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-04-30 2026-02-25
January 2014 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-12-18 2026-02-25
August 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-07-17 2026-02-25
March 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-02-14 2026-02-25
February 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-01-28 2026-02-25
July 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-07-02 2026-02-25
April 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-03-31 2026-02-25
October 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-09-23 2026-02-25
September 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-09-01 2026-02-25
December 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-11-28 2026-02-25
November 2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2015-10-31 2026-02-25
2015 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-02-04 2026-02-25
June 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-05-31 2026-02-25 June 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics, reinforcement learning, cats, experimentation, with 6 book reviews and 12 music links.
May 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-05-10 2026-02-25 May 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with 3 essays, links on genetic engineering/heritability/human evolution, politics, psychology, advertising, and 1 book and 1 movie review.
January 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2017-12-21 2026-02-25 January 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with 3 tech/philosophy essays and links on genetics, AI, biology/medicine, Bitcoin, linguistics, Touhou, and 2 anime reviews.
August 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-08-01 2026-02-25 August 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetic engineering, DRL, research quality, security, economics, and 4 book/movie reviews
March 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-02-28 2026-02-25 March 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics, RL, politics, Uber, 2 book reviews, and 2 movie/anime reviews
February 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-01-28 2026-02-25 February 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with 3 new essays and links on genetics/AI/psychology/economics, 1 book review, 1 movie review, and 7 pieces of music.
July 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-05-01 2026-02-25 July 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics, RL, true crime, tech economics, and 4 book reviews
April 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-04-02 2026-02-25 April 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genome synthesis, cloning, RL, causation, diet, and 1 movie review.
October 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-09-23 2026-02-25 October 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with 5 new posts, links on genetics/human evolution/AI/meta-science/history of tech, 2 book reviews, 2 movie reviews, 1 series review.
September 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-09-02 2026-02-25 September 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics, human evolution, genetic engineering, LSD, and 1 book review.
December 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-11-18 2026-02-25 December 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetic engineering, NLP/DRL, history of technology, online economics; 2 book and 3 movie reviews.
November 2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-10-19 2026-02-25 November 2018 Gwern.net newsletter with links on genetics, CRISPR, political change, oil; 1 book and 1 movie review.
2018 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2018-12-08 2026-02-25 Annual summary of 2018 Gwern.net newsletters, selecting my best writings, the best 2018 links by topic, and the best books/movies/anime I saw in 2018, with some general discussion of the year.
June 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-05-26 2026-02-25
May 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-04-30 2026-02-25
January 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-01-01 2026-02-25
August 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-07-20 2026-02-25
March 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-03-01 2026-02-25
February 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-02-01 2026-02-25
July 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-06-23 2026-02-25
April 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-03-15 2026-02-25
October 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-09-25 2026-02-25
September 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-08-18 2026-02-25
December 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-12-03 2026-02-25
November 2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-10-30 2026-02-25
2016 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2016-12-31 2026-02-25
June 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 June 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
May 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 May 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 January 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
August 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 August 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
March 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 March 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
February 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 February 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
July 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 July 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
April 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 April 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
October 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 October 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
September 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 September 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
December 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 December 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
November 2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-08 2026-02-25 November 2023 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
2023 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2023-01-02 2026-02-25 Annual summary of 2023 Gwern.net newsletters, selecting my best writings, the best 2023 links by topic, and the best books/movies/anime I saw in 2023, with some general discussion of the year.
Internet Search Case Studies · Gwern.net essay 2019-09-23 2026-02-24 Real-world examples of using advanced tips and tricks for effective Internet research of papers/books.
Apollonian #2: A Poet Teaches AIs, by Gwern, Gemini-3.1-pro-preview, Claude-4.6-opus, GPT-5.2 Pro, Kimi K2.5 Thinking · Gwern.net essay 2026-02-22 2026-02-23 <span class="reader-mode-not">A poet stands before an audience of AIs spanning the scale of intelligence—from bits to Jupiter-brains—and answers ‘What is a poem?’, reciting a love poem for his dead gi
Spoilage, by GPT-5.2 Pro, Claude-4.6-opus, Gwern, Kimi K2.5 Thinking, Gemini-3-pro-preview · Gwern.net essay 2026-02-10 2026-02-13 LLM creative writing exercise: <em>Primer</em> fanfic. Claude summary: ‘A startup engineer developing commercial ‘stasis fridges’ discovers, through a miswiring accident, that the device creates close
Self-experiment risk-taking interview, by Elizabeth van Nostrand, Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2026-02-12 2026-02-12 Interview transcript about risk-taking in self-experimentation, LLM creativity, and the limits of self-tracking metrics.
Symbolic PFNs (SPFNs): Training LLMs for Symbolic Bayesian Inference by Reversing Stan · Gwern.net essay 2026-02-02 2026-02-09 Proposal: train LLMs to predict Stan code from synthetic data sampled from Stan’s prior predictives. The output is an interpretable, executable Bayesian model, and a symbolic posterior over model stru
Hacking Smartphone ESP Apps · Gwern.net essay 2026-02-08 2026-02-08 Illustration of how to think about security and reward-hacking by walking through ways to fake psychic powers even on <em>someone else’s</em> smartphone and ESP application. Supply-chain attacks, slei
2025 Inkhaven Writing Interview, by Gwern, Adam Mastroianni · Gwern.net essay 2025-11-05 2026-02-05 Interview with Adam Mastroianni (<em>Experimental History</em>) on writing and where ideas come from; done November 2025 at the Inkhaven writing residency.
Some 2025 LLM System Prompts, by Gwern, Gemini-3-pro-preview, GPT-5 Pro, Claude-4.5-opus · Gwern.net essay 2025-11-18 2026-02-05 Trying out having Gemini-3-pro-preview write system prompts compatible with creative fiction writing (sci-fi short story examples), and trying it out on GPT-5 Pro and Claude-4.5-opus with mixed result
Internet Community Design: Slow To Fast · Gwern.net essay 2021-07-04 2026-02-01 Internet communities are multilevel selection systems across time-scales. Platforms fail when they privilege the stream and block promotion into durable memory. Good design builds explicit promotion p
Perished Paradise Graveyard, by Gwern, GPT-4 · Gwern.net essay 2023-03-31 2026-01-31 Experiments in translating John Milton’s <em>Paradise Lost</em> to alliterative verse using LLMs, 2023–2025 and prototyping inner-monologue prompts for iterative composition.
Gwtar: a static efficient single-file HTML format · Gwern.net essay 2026-01-20 2026-01-27 Gwtar is a new polyglot HTML archival format which provides a single, self-contained, HTML file which still can be efficiently lazy-loaded by a web browser. This is done by a header’s JavaScript makin
Apollonian #1: The Counted & the Crowned, by Gwern, GPT-5.2 Pro, Claude-4.5-opus, Kimi K2 Thinking, Gemini-3-pro-preview · Gwern.net essay 2025-12-15 2026-01-26 <span class="reader-mode-not">Pindaric ode commemorating millions of laboratory animals sacrificed for science, in a strict alliterative meter. Synthesizing the history of mice strains with mythic fig
Towards a Better Hutter Prize, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2026-01-22 2026-01-22 The Hutter Prize compression benchmark has not led to any progress towards AGI because it is too small. To work, it needs to be much larger, move to temporally heldout data rather than compression bou
Recent Blog Posts · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-27 2026-01-22 Index of my most recent longer off-site writings, presented as annotations. (Sorted in reverse chronological order. Intended for transclusion onto the homepage index.)
Video Games as Art · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-31 2026-01-17 Video games are art, but a strange art: their essence is transformation of the player, not description to the player. This makes meaningful criticism nearly impossible—you can point at the moon, but i
Changelog · Gwern.net essay 2013-09-15 2026-01-16 Monthly chronological list of recent major writings/changes/additions to Gwern.net (see also the monthly newsletter).
How Many Shower Controls Are There?, by Gwern, GPT-5.2 Pro · Gwern.net essay 2023-07-31 2026-01-15 Answer: Too many! After observing 14 unique shower controls across 20 stays while traveling, I used capture-recapture statistics to estimate the total population of designs, finding a likely mean of &
First, Make Me Care, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-11-08 2026-01-14 Writing advice: some nonfiction fails because it opens with background instead of a hook—readers leave before reaching the good material. Find the single anomaly or question that makes your topic inte
Manual of Style · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-07 2026-01-14 Style guide documentation of Gwern.net writing conventions for essays and code.
Poetry HTML Typesetting · Gwern.net essay 2026-01-03 2026-01-04 Web design post-mortem of ways to typeset poetry and how we developed our advanced approach. Possible approaches are PDF plugins, PNG screenshots, semantic class soup, and Pandoc line blocks. Gwern.ne
Anti-Spaced Repetition for Serendipity · Gwern.net essay 2017-03-24 2025-12-30 Proposal: the spacing curve could be used to review only flashcards one <em>has</em> forgotten, instead of almost forgotten. This inverse or opposite spaced repetition system would be useful for syste
Anencephaly Infant Organ Donation Survey · Gwern.net essay 2025-11-13 2025-12-30 American public survey suggests meaningful support for organ donation from anencephalic (terminal) babies.
Oh Deer: Could Deer Evolve to Avoid Car Accidents? · Gwern.net essay 2018-11-11 2025-12-30 I wondered how fast deer could evolve to avoid car fatalities. Truncation selection with known mortality and generation length suggests that it would take a long time even with high heritability.
Claude-2: Bats With Baby Faces, by Claude-2, GPT-4o, Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2023-07-11 2025-12-27 Some July 2023 Claude-2 &amp; ChatGPT satirical writing samples of gonzo journalism &amp; typography.
‘The Fourth Truth Of Pain’ Graveyard, by Gwern, davinci-001, davinci-003, GPT-3.5, Kimi K2 Thinking, Gemini-3-pro-preview, GPT-5.1 Pro, Claude-4.5 · Gwern.net essay 2022-11-30 2025-12-26 Prototype poems and abandoned draft completions of a William Empson poem, by various LLMs 2022–2025. Samples illustrate the inverted U-curve of LLM creative writing, where RLHF destroyed creativity fo
Why Is Microwave Tea Bad? · Gwern.net essay 2022-03-22 2025-12-24 Microwaving water for tea makes it taste bad, for unknown reasons. Is it a lack of bubbles? Lingering CO<sub>2</sub>? Comments and proposed experiments.
Your Hands And Mine, by Gwern, Claude-4.5-opus, GPT-5.1 Pro, Kimi K2 Thinking, Gemini-3-pro-preview · Gwern.net essay 2025-11-25 2025-12-15 <span class="reader-mode-not">A 9-part lyric narrative poem in mostly loose 13-syllable ABAB quatrains, punctuated by terse italic weekday refrains that read as a chore-and-ritual checklist. Beginning
What Begets the End, by Alexander Wales · Gwern.net essay 2025-11-14 2025-11-25 Commissioned short story on the theme of the shoggoth and contemporary AI.
The Fourth Truth Of Pain, by Gwern, Kimi K2 Thinking, Gemini-3-pro-preview, GPT-5.1 Pro, Claude-4.5 · Gwern.net essay 2022-11-30 2025-11-21 <span class="reader-mode-not">A collaborative AI completion of the second half of William Empson’s poem “This Last Pain” that transforms his locked-door metaphor into a camera obscura of Buddhist no-s
A Christmas Protestation, by Gwern, ChatGPT-4 o1-pro, Claude-3.5-Sonnet, ChatGPT-5 Pro, Kimi K2 Thinking, Gemini-3-pro-preview · Gwern.net essay 2024-12-25 2025-11-19 Satirical Christmas monologue by unreliable narrator disavowing his sins to Santa Claus; 16-stanza 64-line comic monologue in rhyming couplets, using regular iambic pentameter.
LLM Challenge: Write Non-Biblical Sentences · Gwern.net essay 2024-12-28 2025-11-18 Can 2024-era LLMs reason successfully about how to write using only words that could <em>not</em> have appeared in any Bible ever? Mostly.
Tilakkhana: The 3 Scars of Existence, by Gwern, Kimi K2, GPT-5 Pro, Claude-Sonnet-4.5, DeepSeek-V3.2 · Gwern.net essay 2025-10-18 2025-10-22 A poem for the end of the Anthropocene. 3-part Buddhist meditation on the ethics and nature of AI minds, largely written by LLMs.
Silver Bird Above San Francisco, by Gwern, Claude-Sonnet-4.5, GPT-5 Pro, Gemini-2.5-pro · Gwern.net essay 2025-09-30 2025-10-14 A free-verse ode to aviation’s mundane miracle, using William Carlos Williams’ “so much depends” as structural refrain across six sections—from a torque-spec’d bolt to sleeping passengers to ground ob
Why Cats Love Earwax · Gwern.net essay 2019-11-05 2025-08-15 Collation of anecdotes and speculation about why many cats like earwax, and human earwax especially. Is it the valeric acid? Plus human sweat.
LLM Daydreaming · Gwern.net essay 2025-07-12 2025-07-14 Proposal &amp; discussion of how default mode networks for LLMs are an example of missing capabilities for search and novelty in contemporary AI systems.
Conference Fermi Problems, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-07-06 2025-07-06 A field guide to inferring how many people are at a convention using nothing but on-the-spot observation. It surveys flow/dwell tricks, density sampling, capture–recapture, supply-exhaustion indices,
Perfume Reviews, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-07-05 2025-07-05 Discussion of dabbling in samplers of ‘avant-garde’ perfumes and other perfumes; what I liked and did not like, and what 2 perfumes I ultimately bought for myself (Acqua di Sale and Kyoto Incense).
Towards Better LLM Creative Writing, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-29 2025-07-01 What have I been up to with regards to LLM writing? A quick overview of how it all fits together, as of the first half of 2025.
Tracking Phishing Bots Via Locations, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-06-04 2025-06-06 Proposal: use an information leak from catfishing/thirst-trap bots of ‘their location’, which they set to a target’s location, to monitor their collective activities and infer their attacks.
Conferences As D&D Tabletops, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-28 2025-05-30 Proposal for a conference organization tool modeled after ad hoc collaboration tools like tabletop roleplaying games or disaster response: just have everyone scribble on a map of the conference locati
Hacking Pinball High Scores, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-28 2025-05-28 Illustration of how to think about security and reward-hacking by walking through many ways to fake a pinball high score.
Bell, Crow, Moon: 11 Variations, by Gwern, Claude-4-opus, Gemini-2.5-pro, GPT-4-o3 · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-25 2025-05-27 Set of 11 <em>haiku</em>/<em>waka</em> variations on the theme ‘A struck gong. The crows launch from the trees. Behind them: the moon.’, written using LLMs.
Meta-Learning Information-Maximizing Personality Surveys · Gwern.net essay 2024-12-17 2025-05-26 Proposal to teach LLM efficient interviewing by using psychometric tests to construct optimal question-and-answer sequences to train on. Would enable better personalization and imitation, and eventual
Quantifying Truesight With SAEs · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-25 2025-05-26 Proposal to use SAEs to crack open the dark matter of LLM inference about text.
You Could’ve Invented Transformers, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-25 2025-05-25 Proposal for a ‘You Could Have Invented Transformers’ tutorial; someone should write a series showing a logical recreation of Transformers from primitive <em>n</em>-gram language models to full-streng
Does website luxury exist? · Gwern.net essay 2024-11-29 2025-05-23 There are many luxury goods. Are there luxury websites? They could exist, but mostly don’t. Maybe website quality is too hard to understand right now.
Human Cannibalism Alignment Chart, by Gwern, Gemini-2.5-pro, GPT-4-o3 · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-12 2025-05-20 Taxonomy of possible kinds of human cannibalism, in 3×3 form vs function alignment table. Surprisingly many cases to consider.
October The First Is Too Late · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-09 2025-05-19 Short story about ‘The Institute of September the Thirtieth’, dedicated to the study of a single day in 1​939, in the form of a review of a fictional book.
Cats As Horror Movie Villains · Gwern.net essay 2025-04-11 2025-05-11 Speculation on feline-human fascination being ancestral vigilance triggered by their behavioral similarity to major primate predators, evolutionarily, creating a compelling ‘safe danger’ like watching
Project Xanadu: Even More Hindsight · Gwern.net essay 2025-05-05 2025-05-05 Retrospective on Project Xanadu’s success and failure: a lack of design iteration, meaningful use-cases, or practicality stopped a valuable vision from maturing into something useful. (And contrasted
Review of I Remember Lemuria!, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-03-26 2025-05-01 Pulp SF novel about mind-controlling evil UFO alien abductions seems more about BDSM and furries than appreciated, possibly explaining its early popularity and eventual disappearance.
The Meta-LW Doomsday Argument, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-04-29 2025-04-30 N/A
Review: The Birth of Sake (2015), by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-03-19 2025-04-29 Review of sake-making documentary; moody cinematography on a declining industry, way of life, and country. What is the point of sacrificing your life and family to make a drink no one cares about? Wha
AI Cannibalism Can Be Good, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-04-27 2025-04-27 Training new LLMs on old LLM outputs is a good way to get a lot more data and recycle compute, and is not paradoxically self-defeating nor necessarily harmful.
Design Graveyard · Gwern.net essay 2010-10-01 2025-04-26 Meta page describing Gwern.net website design experiments and post-mortem analyses.
Visualizing Active Learning Sample-Efficiency, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2022-07-25 2025-04-25 Visualizing the sample efficiency of adaptiveness in active learning using R and the pedagogical example of binary search on an interval.
Parliament of Rag & Bone, by Gwern, GPT-4.5, GPT-4-o3, GPT-4-o4-mini-high, Claude-3.7 · Gwern.net essay 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 N/A
Area Man Angry AI Not Silver Bullet, by Gwern, Gemini-2.5-pro, GPT-4-o3 · Gwern.net essay 2025-04-19 2025-04-19 <em>Onion</em>-style fiction satire of complaints about automation or scaling not proceeding fast enough for some individual with unstated comparisons or timelines. (Partially an LLM style-imitation w
Speedrunning Is Not Such A Waste Of Talent · Gwern.net essay 2025-03-14 2025-04-09 On statistical and psychological grounds, we probably are not losing many future Einsteins to speedrunning or streaming or e-sports etc.
The Unreasonable Selectiveness of Mathematics · Gwern.net essay 2025-03-14 2025-04-09 Meta-mathematics discussion of why math is open-ended and generalizes, from the perspective of meta-reinforcement learning and contrasted with fields like speedrunning: it culturally selects for feasi
Absolute Unit NNs: Regression-Based MLPs for Everything · Gwern.net essay 2023-07-20 2025-04-07 Proposal for a general NN architecture handling arbitrary tasks, for scaling up MLPs, with applications.
Sidenotes In Web Design · Gwern.net essay 2020-08-06 2025-04-06 In typography/design, ‘sidenotes’ place footnotes/endnotes in the margins for easier reading. I discuss design choices, HTML implementations and their pros/cons.
Adding Bits Beats AI Slop, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 AI slop is unsatisfying because there is no <em>there</em> there. It is intellectual junk food that mimics nutrition but delivers only empty calories. Satisfying AI outputs must embed dense informatio
Little’s Law in the Wild, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2023-10-27 2025-03-22 N/A
Best Student Ever! · Gwern.net essay 2023-08-27 2025-03-22 Harold Bloom amusingly recommends all students as his ‘best student ever’; modeled as a ‘record value’ order statistics problem, this is more common than it seems.
Simulating ‘tail Collapse’ in R, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-23 2025-03-21 N/A
Plumbing vs Internet, Revisited, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-01-02 2025-03-19 N/A
Regexps Used to Be AI, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-06-24 2025-03-19 N/A
Trying Pemmican, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-09-01 2025-03-19 N/A
Weinersmith’s Trajectoid Words, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-12-04 2025-03-19 N/A
Kids Are Sick, A Lot, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-04-21 2025-03-19 N/A
On First Looking Into Tolkien’s Tower, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-04-06 2025-03-19 N/A
Cleanup When: Before or After?, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2022-01-28 2025-03-19 N/A
Peak Pre-Modern Human Speed, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2022-01-02 2025-03-19 N/A
PDF Forgeries Are Surprisingly Rare, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2022-01-23 2025-03-19 N/A
Copyright & AI · Gwern.net essay 2023-11-26 2025-03-18 The moral application of copyright and intellectual property to AI is the minimum protection necessary to promote the progress of science and the useful arts.
Scaling Hypothesis Revisited: GPT-3’s 2^(nd) Anniversary & Looking Forward 2 Years · Gwern.net essay 2022-05-28 2025-03-17 Revisiting GPT-3 and my ‘Scaling Hypothesis’ 2 years: it holds up and scaling has been too successful to be strangled in th ecrub. I speculate about the immediate future of scaling for 2023–2024 and b
Scaling Hypothesis Revisited: GPT-3’s 2^(nd) Anniversary & Looking Forward 2 Years · Gwern.net essay 2022-05-28 2025-03-17 Revisiting GPT-3 and my ‘Scaling Hypothesis’ 2 years: it holds up and scaling has been too successful to be strangled in th ecrub. I speculate about the immediate future of scaling for 2023–2024 and b
Spend Writing Weirdness Points Well, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2013-07-20 2025-03-17 N/A
DMT Factoring Experiment Cost Estimate, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2015-04-22 2025-03-16 N/A
You Can’t Countersignal Online Writing, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2023-12-29 2025-03-16 N/A
Running Traffic Lights as Complex Disasters · Gwern.net essay 2025-03-16 2025-03-16 James Reason’s Swiss cheese model illuminates how running red lights happens when multiple failures align—not from recklessness but from decision paralysis at the wrong moment. A ‘point of no return’
Wolfe’s ‘Fat Magician’: Marx Brother?, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-02-10 2025-03-15 Was Gene Wolfe’s opaque short story ‘Fat Magician’ inspired by a scene from the famous Marx Brothers movie, <em>A Night at the Opera</em>, and the vaudeville gags solve the mystery of the short story?
Gwern.net Large File Support, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-03-09 2025-03-09 N/A
Oldest possible food: 20_(mya)? · Gwern.net essay 2021-06-22 2025-03-08 Looking into the oldest edible food suggests a range of 0.05–20<sub>mya</sub> food, after discarding myths like honey or woolly mammoth.
Intentionally Blank Page · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-27 2025-02-10 This page deliberately left blank. It is meant to serve as a placeholder for client-side transclusion purposes.
LLMs Can Be Faster Than You Think, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2025-02-07 2025-02-09 2025 LLM technology is still far from the physical and statistical limits of how fast text or programs can be generated. It is plausible that with enough money, optimization, and hardware, large progr
Rock-Paper-Scissors Optimality · Gwern.net essay 2024-06-25 2025-02-02 Speculation on why 3-move games like Rock-Paper-Scissors are so common in games &amp; decisions: aside from allowing ties, is this design information-theoretically optimal in game difficulty vs inform
Danbooru2021: A Large-Scale Crowdsourced & Tagged Anime Illustration Dataset · Gwern.net essay 2015-12-15 2025-02-01 Danbooru2021 is a large-scale anime image database with 4.9m+ images annotated with 162m+ tags; it can be useful for machine learning purposes such as image recognition and generation.
Miscellaneous · Gwern.net essay 2009-08-05 2024-12-28 Misc thoughts, memories, proto-essays, musings, etc.
Self-Blinded Mineral Water Taste Test · Gwern.net essay 2017-02-15 2024-12-16 Blind randomized taste-test of mineral/distilled/tap waters using Bayesian best-arm finding; no large differences in preference.
Towards Benchmarking LLM Diversity & Creativity · Gwern.net essay 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 Discussion of possible tasks to measure LLM capabilities in soft ‘creative’ tasks like brainstorming or editing, to quantify failures in creative writing domains.
Towards Better RSS Feeds, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-07-30 2024-12-14 Discussion of the mismatch between blog-oriented RSS feeds and longform/wiki writing methods, and how providing a ‘temporal hierarchy’ of raw edits → summaries may help square the circle.
Second Life Sentences · Gwern.net essay 2024-12-03 2024-12-12 Variations on the idea of criminals being convicted and sentenced to a ‘second’ life sentence—what could that possibly mean…?
‘Tools For Thought’ Failure, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-05-12 2024-12-10 The tools-for-thought movement has, like earlier attempts, largely failed. Users wind up doing a lot of work to make the tools work, and save little thought with their fancy notes. The tools are just
Hierarchical Embeddings for Text Search · Gwern.net essay 2024-12-10 2024-12-10 List-processing tricks for generating embeddings at different levels of document abstraction to allow efficient semantic searching.
Is OpenAI OK?, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-06-19 2024-12-04 Has OA lost its mojo and ability to push AI paradigms in the wake of its hypergrowth and the OA Altman coup? Is OA OK? How would we know &amp; what would it look like if it was not?
Site Help · Gwern.net essay 2024-04-05 2024-12-04 Short cheatsheet documentation about Gwern.net keybindings &amp; features.
Borges’s Tlön: Fascist Idealism, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-12-01 2024-12-03 Analysis of Jorge Luise Borges’s short story ‘Tlön, Uqbar, Orbis Tertius’ as a satire of authoritarian dynamics, where the regime often declares something to be ‘true’ and people scramble to make it s
Virtual Comments: LLM Idea, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-11-29 2024-11-30 N/A
LLM Acceptable-Use Policy, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-24 2024-11-30 An LLM acceptable-use policy: authors must <em>improve</em> samples so as to be worth reading and training on, rather than spamming the world with random LLM outputs.
Writing for LLMs So They Listen · Gwern.net essay 2024-11-30 2024-11-30 Speculation about what sort of ordinary human writing is most relevant and useful to future AI systems.
‘Winning’ AI Arms Races: Then What?, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-11-23 2024-11-24 Challenge to proponents of AI arms races and Manhattan Projects: state plainly, what is your long-term exit plan? What does ‘success’ look like? Or what good is it to beat rivals to AGI and then stand
Self-Funding Harberger Taxes · Gwern.net essay 2024-11-21 2024-11-22 Copyright mechanism proposal to solve the orphan works problem: self-assessed Harberger taxes on any inherited copyright are then invested, and dedicated to eventually buying out the owners. Works are
GPT-3 Semantic Derealization, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-06-16 2024-11-19 N/A
Scaling ‘Diminishing Returns’, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-11-14 2024-11-19 What do we mean by dimishing returns in scaling? Returns have always missed— what it really means is <em>worse</em> than extrapolation of the known scaling power laws.
The State of Chinese AI, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-11-15 2024-11-19 N/A
Website Colors: Red vs Blue · Gwern.net essay 2024-11-07 2024-11-10 I manually extract RGB colors for 225 websites and graph them: <span style="color: red">red</span> &gt; <span style="color: blue">blue</span> &gt; <span style="color: green">green</span> &gt; <span st
Against Caring About Subtle Poisons, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2023-09-30 2024-11-07 N/A
Can You Unsort Lists for Diversity? · Gwern.net essay 2019-11-24 2024-11-04 Discussion of whether there is a general ‘unsorting’ list operation to avoid redundancy, repetition, or lack of novelty. Probably not, there are too many things you might want to maximize or minimize.
Subscripts For Citations · Gwern.net essay 2020-01-08 2024-11-01 A typographic proposal: replace cumbersome inline citation formats like ‘Foo <em>et al.</em> (2010)’ with subscripted dates/sources like ‘<span class="cite"><span class="cite-author-plural">Foo</span>
Dropcap Generation With AI · Gwern.net essay 2023-10-15 2024-10-30 We develop AI image generation workflows for webpage dropcap typography, creating PNGs &amp; SVGs using image generators. As demos, we create new Gwern.net logos and several custom FLOSS dropcap sets,
The Existential Risk of Math Errors · Gwern.net essay 2012-07-20 2024-10-20 Mathematical mistake/error-rates limit our understanding of rare risks and ability to defend against them.
Celebrity Masquerade Game Proposal · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-18 2024-10-17 Ideas for a costume party game revolving around guessing identities, with an asymmetrical twist.
The Diamond Earrings · Gwern.net essay 2023-05-09 2024-10-16 Short story varying ‘The Whispering Earring’ on willpower and Goodharting values.
Research Ideas · Gwern.net essay 2017-03-19 2024-10-15 Someone (who is not me) should do something: a wishlist of miscellaneous research or project ideas—free to a good home.
Abs-E, Or, Speak Only Positively, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-09-27 2024-10-06 A practical LLM-based test of Abs-E linguistic proposal to avoid negation shows that many natural statements are very hard to write and the idea probably can’t work outside narrow niches like technica
Acne: a good Quantified Self topic · Gwern.net essay 2019-01-08 2024-10-04 Acne is a good way to learn self-experiments for teenagers. I offer tips on what one could do, and an initial list of crowdsourced interventions to test from CureTogether.
Why So Few Matt Levines? · Gwern.net essay 2024-09-24 2024-09-24 Why are popularizing educational newsletter-frequency writers of important fields like Matt Levine for finance so rare? Because most fields are too slow or ambiguous, and writers of the right combinat
Why To Not Write A Book · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-22 2024-09-17 A discussion of why I don’t intend to turn Gwern.net into a book, and how trying to write a book can harm writers.
About This Website · Gwern.net essay 2010-10-01 2024-08-30 Meta page describing Gwern.net site ideals of stable long-term essays which improve over time; idea sources and writing methodology; metadata definitions; site statistics; copyright license.
What Is an ‘AI Warning Shot’?, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-07 2024-08-26 N/A
Hardware Hedging Scaling Risks, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-22 2024-08-26 N/A
Number Search Engine via NN Embeddings · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-10 2024-08-25 Proposal to create a ‘search engine’ like OEIS but for individual numbers, allowing fuzzy lookups, by training a neural net embedding on the scientific &amp; mathematic literature’s corpus of co-occur
You Should Write More Online, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-21 2024-08-22 You should write more online: it is still a good time to influence humans and AI, especially as everyone else foolishly retreats into hiding out of fear.
Statistical Notes · Gwern.net essay 2014-07-17 2024-08-21 Miscellaneous statistical stuff
Marvel: Humanizing Mythology, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-08-16 2024-08-16 Marvel’s Silver Age of Comics was due to inventing a new kind of <em>mythology</em>, humanizing it, providing an appealing new formula which could be mined for decades.
A Gambler’s Verity World, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-07-29 2024-08-16 We can imagine a world where the gambler’s fallacy is true if randomness is implemented by sampling-<em>without</em>-replacement.
Midjourney Personalization Flaws, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-07-22 2024-07-23 Flaws in Midjourney’s new personalization feature: inefficient, noisy, and crude… but still useful and recommended.
Why Do Writers Still Underestimate LLMs?, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2023-11-12 2024-07-10 N/A
Movie Reviews · Gwern.net essay 2014-05-01 2024-06-29 A compilation of movie, television, and opera reviews since 2014.
On the Impossibility of Superintelligent Rubik’s Cube Solvers [Claude-3.5-sonnet], by Claude-3 · Gwern.net essay 2024-06-21 2024-06-22 Satirical essay on how AI can never truly solve a Rubik’s Cube like human beings can, written by Claude-3.5-sonnet.
On the Impossibility of Superintelligent Rubik’s Cube Solvers, by Gwern, Claude-3, Claude-2 · Gwern.net essay 2023-07-19 2024-06-22 Satirical essay on how AI can never truly solve a Rubik’s Cube like human beings can, written by an AI. Inspired by ‘Supersized Machines’ (Garfinkel et al 2017).
Review Of The Last Unicorn · Gwern.net essay 2024-06-06 2024-06-16 Children’s animated fantasy movie with surprisingly deep thoughts about personal identity and immortality.
Anime Reviews · Gwern.net essay 2010-12-14 2024-06-06 A compilation of anime/manga reviews since 2010.
Review Of Crumb · Gwern.net essay 2024-05-23 2024-05-25 Autobiographical documentary about ‘underground artist’ Robert Crumb on his 1991 farewell tour, discussing his personality, family, mental health, and source of his graphomanic art.
Review of The Bridge · Gwern.net essay 2024-04-28 2024-04-30 Documentary about suicides at the Golden Gate Bridge sheds little light on the brute facts of suffering and mental illness—facts which perhaps <em>cannot</em> be conveyed to others (on film or otherwi
Why is Western Animation Ugly? · Gwern.net essay 2024-04-26 2024-04-26 Western TV animation is often shockingly ugly and crude compared to other animation like French or Japanese. Why, when it’s not even cheaper? Degenerate echoes of what were once cutting-edge art.
Utext: Rich Unicode Documents · Gwern.net essay 2023-10-08 2024-04-24 An esoteric document proposal: abuse Unicode to create the fanciest possible ‘plain text’ documents.
Novelty Nets: Classifier Anti-Guidance · Gwern.net essay 2024-02-23 2024-04-06 Generative modeling proposal for increasing diversity of samples by a helper NN memorizing past samples and ‘repelling’ new samples away from old ones.
Proposal: Hybridizing Forums/Wikis, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2024-03-24 2024-03-28 N/A
InvertOrNot.com Proposal · Gwern.net essay 2021-03-21 2024-03-25 Description of a useful service for web development: a website which wraps a neural network trained to classify images by whether they would look better inverted in a website/app dark-mode, or faded.
The Second Apocalypse: Freedom In An Unfree Universe · Gwern.net essay 2017-08-01 2024-03-21 Bakker’s <em>Second Apocalypse</em> vs Frank Herbert’s <em>Dune</em>: time loops and finding freedom in an unfree universe. In Dune, humanity is liberated by growth and development and escaping the pr
Epigrams · Gwern.net essay 2014-04-30 2024-03-15 Witticisms, parodies, pointed observations, japeries and/or jocularities, Tom Swifties, nominative determinism, and discursive drollery
Review Of The Quantum Thief Trilogy · Gwern.net essay 2022-08-31 2024-03-13 Explanation of the emotional core of <em>The Quantum Thief</em>’s exploration of the trap of persistent personal identity and seeking freedom.
Interpreting ‘Suzanne Delage’ as Dracula · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-23 2024-03-03 On the interpretation of Gene Wolfe’s short story ‘Suzanne Delage’ as inversion of Bram Stoker’s <em>Dracula</em> horror novel.
What Is The Morning Writing Effect? · Gwern.net essay 2011-05-11 2024-03-01 Many writers anecdotally report they write best first thing early in the morning, apparently even if they are not morning people. Do they, and why?
Startup Ideas · Gwern.net essay 2017-08-21 2024-01-14 Proposals for new technologies, businesses, startups, satirical or serious.
Nenex: A Neural Personal Wiki Idea · Gwern.net essay 2023-09-13 2023-12-31 Proposal for a personal wiki built on neural nets: all edits are logged &amp; used to finetune a NN assistant in realtime.
Origins of Innovation: Bakewell & Breeding · Gwern.net essay 2018-10-28 2023-12-14 A review of Russell 1986’s <em>Like Engend’ring Like: Heredity and Animal Breeding in Early Modern England</em>, describing development of selective breeding and discussing models of the psychology an
Timecrimes: Time Travel In Hell · Gwern.net essay 2023-11-15 2023-11-18 The 2007 indie SF film <em>Timecrimes</em> shows the horror &amp; metaphysical implications of stable time loops: over a single day, the protagonist commits escalating crimes while trapped in a 3-iter
The Tragedy of Grand Admiral Thrawn · Gwern.net essay 2019-01-05 2023-11-18 I explain the somewhat arbitrary-seeming death of the popular <em>Star Wars</em> character Grand Admiral Thrawn as being the logical culmination of a tragic character arc in which his twisted (or ‘thr
Tea Reviews · Gwern.net essay 2011-04-13 2023-11-16 Teas I have drunk, with reviews and future purchases; focused primarily on oolongs and greens. Plus experiments on water.
CQK Is The First Unused TLA · Gwern.net essay 2023-09-29 2023-11-11 Curious what the first ‘unused’ alphabetic acronym is, I have GPT-4 write a script to check English Wikipedia. After three bugs, the first unused one turns out as of 2023-09-29 to be the three-letter
Cat itecture: Better Cat Window Boxes · Gwern.net essay 2023-11-01 2023-11-02 Cats are not humans, but we design things like they are, for our convenience. What are the design patterns for cat-architecture? One missing design pattern: <em>progressive concealment</em>, for cat l
Poems · Gwern.net essay 2011-07-28 2023-10-14 Miscellaneous waka/haiku, by season
A/B Testing Indentation & Justification · Gwern.net essay 2022-09-27 2023-08-23 1-year-long website A/B test of controversial typographic choices of indenting &amp; justifying paragraphs: a fairly precise null result. No design change was made.
Gwern.net Website Traffic · Gwern.net essay 2011-02-03 2023-08-19 Meta page describing Gwern.net editing activity, traffic statistics, and referrer details, primarily sourced from Google Analytics (2011-present).
Internet Search Tips · Gwern.net essay 2018-12-11 2023-08-08 A description of advanced tips and tricks for effective Internet research of papers/books, with real-world examples.
Language-Conditioned Absolute Unit NNs · Gwern.net essay 2022-10-22 2023-08-08 Proposal for applying the AUNN neural net architecture to reconstruction of historical documents using pretrained large language models.
Modular Brain AUNNs for Uploads · Gwern.net essay 2023-05-22 2023-08-08 Proposal for applying the AUNN neural net architecture to reconstruction of brains in a modular piece-wise fashion.
Who Buys Fonts? · Gwern.net essay 2021-04-21 2023-08-02 Fonts are durable, highly-reusable, compact, &amp; high-quality software products which do not ‘bitrot’. Nevertheless, hundreds or thousands of new ones come out every year despite enormous duplicatio
CO₂ Coin: Decentralized Carbon Capture Blockchains · Gwern.net essay 2021-06-12 2023-07-13 Sketch of a decentralized mineralization-based carbon capture: suppliers stake on reported deposits of mineral dust in publicly-auditable locations.
The Neural Net Tank Urban Legend · Gwern.net essay 2011-09-20 2023-07-04 AI folklore tells a story about a neural network trained to detect tanks which instead learned to detect time of day; investigating, this probably never happened.
Cat Psychology & Domestication: Are We Good Owners? · Gwern.net essay 2018-11-03 2023-06-30 Extended book review of Bradshaw 2013 (<em>Cat Sense</em>) on the connections between cat psychology, evolution/genetics, history of domestication or lack thereof, &amp; possible dysgenics, highlighti
Why Cats Knock Stuff Over · Gwern.net essay 2023-06-30 2023-06-30 Why do cats like to push stuff over edges and then curiously watch the fallen object? I suggest that they are play-hunting, and are testing the ‘prey’ for liveness &amp; playing-dead, similarly to tos
Fuzz Testing · Gwern.net essay 2018-06-01 2023-06-30 Catalogue of errors or problems caused by cats randomly doing things (ie. real-life fuzz testing).
Content Unit Test Page · Gwern.net essay 2023-06-27 2023-06-27 Transclude testcase page.
The Impossibility of Knowledge of Retrocognitive Knowledge · Gwern.net essay 2023-06-06 2023-06-10 Is it possible to prove the existence of retrocognition if precognition also exists, because precognition could be used to foresee any proof found of retrocognition? Does this also disprove precogniti
Free-Play Periods for RL Agents · Gwern.net essay 2023-05-07 2023-05-09 Proposal for incentivizing meta-learning of exploration in deep reinforcement learning: domain randomization with reward-shaping, where there is a fixed-length ‘play time’ with no rewards/losses at th
Feynman’s Maze-Running Story · Gwern.net essay 2014-05-04 2023-05-03 Richard Feynman recounts an amazing anecdote about philosophy of science; we trace it to a forgotten University of Michigan research programme into ‘floor cues’.
Everything Is Correlated · Gwern.net essay 2014-09-12 2023-04-30 Anthology of sociology, statistical, or psychological papers discussing the observation that all real-world variables have non-zero correlations and the implications for statistical theory such as ‘nu
Design Of This Website · Gwern.net essay 2010-10-01 2023-04-20 Meta page describing Gwern.net, the self-documenting website’s implementation and experiments for better ‘semantic zoom’ of hypertext; technical decisions using Markdown and static hosting.
It Looks Like You’re Trying To Take Over The World · Gwern.net essay 2022-03-06 2023-03-28 Fictional short story about Clippy &amp; AI hard takeoff scenarios grounded in contemporary ML scaling, self-supervised learning, reinforcement learning, and meta-learning research literature.
GPT-3 Creative Fiction · Gwern.net essay 2020-06-19 2023-03-11 Creative writing by OpenAI’s GPT-3 model, demonstrating poetry, dialogue, puns, literary parodies, and storytelling. Plus advice on effective GPT-3 prompt programming &amp; avoiding common errors.
Twitter Follow-Request UX Problems · Gwern.net essay 2023-02-24 2023-03-09 The Twitter UI/UX for accepting follow requests is a fractal of bad design.
How OVAs Worked · Gwern.net essay 2023-03-09 2023-03-09 Brief description of how the direct-to-video-rental model helped create the anime boom by allowing wide diversity in bankrolled anime projects, outside the production committee system.
Archiving URLs · Gwern.net essay 2011-03-10 2023-03-02 Archiving the Web, because nothing lasts forever: statistics, online archive services, extracting URLs automatically from browsers, and creating a daemon to regularly back up URLs to multiple sources.
Newton’s System of the World and Comets · Gwern.net essay 2016-06-13 2023-02-23 Isaac Newton’s cosmology apparently involved regular apocalypses caused by comets overstoking the furnace of the Sun and the repopulation of the Solar System by new intelligent species. He supports th
Open Questions · Gwern.net essay 2018-10-17 2023-02-13 Some anomalies/questions which are not necessarily important, but do puzzle me or where I find existing explanations to be unsatisfying.
Dreams Don’t Matter Morally, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2021-11-09 2023-02-03 N/A
Rubrication Design Examples · Gwern.net essay 2019-05-30 2023-01-13 A gallery of typographic and graphics design examples of rubrication, a classic pattern of using red versus black for emphasis.
My Ordinary Life: Improvements Since the 1990s · Gwern.net essay 2018-04-28 2022-12-20 A list of unheralded improvements to ordinary quality-of-life since the 1990s going beyond computers.
Surprisingly Turing-Complete · Gwern.net essay 2012-12-09 2022-12-17 A catalogue of software constructs, languages, or APIs which are unexpectedly Turing-complete; implications for security and reliability.
Making Anime Faces With StyleGAN · Gwern.net essay 2019-02-04 2022-10-19 A tutorial explaining how to train and generate high-quality anime faces with StyleGAN 1+2 neural networks, and tips/scripts for effective StyleGAN use.
Problem 14 Dynamic Programming Solutions, by Gwern Branwen, FeepingCreature, nshepperd, Khoth · Gwern.net essay 2022-10-02 2022-10-17 Timothy Falcon’s quantitative-finance interview problem #14 asks for the optimal stopping strategy when playing a card-drawing game of  <em>l</em> cards where red = +$1 &amp; black = −$1; the value ap
Calculating The Gaussian Expected Maximum · Gwern.net essay 2016-01-22 2022-10-15 In generating a sample of <em>n</em> datapoints drawn from a normal/Gaussian distribution, how big on average the biggest datapoint is will depend on how large <em>n</em> is. I implement a variety of
GANs Didn’t Fail, They Were Abandoned, by Gwern Branwen · Gwern.net essay 2022-10-04 2022-10-15 Diffusion models supposedly beat GANs because they scale better and stabler. That is unproven, and false. GANs should be revisited.
Review of The Tale of the Princess Kaguya · Gwern.net essay 2016-03-01 2022-10-13 Review of Isao Takahata’s last &amp; greatest film on how to accept the transience of life, filled as it is with both joy &amp; sorrow.
Book Reviews · Gwern.net essay 2013-08-23 2022-10-13 A compilation of reviews of books I have read since ~1997.
A/B testing long-form readability on Gwern.net · Gwern.net essay 2012-06-16 2022-09-27 A log of experiments done on the site design, intended to render pages more readable, focusing on the challenge of testing a static site, page width, fonts, plugins, and effects of advertising.
GPT-3 Nonfiction · Gwern.net essay 2020-06-19 2022-07-03 Nonfiction writing by OpenAI’s GPT-3 model, testing logic, commonsense reasoning, anagrams, PDF/OCR cleaning, creative nonfiction, etc.
How Often Does Correlation=Causality? · Gwern.net essay 2014-06-24 2022-06-14 Compilation of studies comparing observational results with randomized experimental results on the same intervention, compiled from medicine/economics/psychology, indicating that a large fraction of t
SMPY Bibliography · Gwern.net essay 2018-07-28 2022-06-11 An annotated fulltext bibliography of publications on the Study of Mathematically Precocious Youth (SMPY), a longitudinal study of high-IQ youth.
ThisWaifuDoesNotExist.net, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2019-02-19 2022-05-05 N/A
Why Do Hipsters Steal Stuff? · Gwern.net essay 2022-04-29 2022-04-29 Many fashions and artworks originate as copies of practical objects. Why? Because any form of optimized design is intrinsically esthetically-pleasing, and a great starting point.
404 Not Found · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-27 2022-04-19 404 Not Found Error: no page by this name!
The Gift of the Amygdali · Gwern.net essay 2017-10-29 2022-04-15 A high-concept <em>Batman</em> short story in the style of a 1980s comic book script (alluding to <em>The Wasteland</em>) about the Scarecrow and the gifts no one appreciates: pain/guilt/fear/anxiety.
Fake Journal Club: Teaching Critical Reading · Gwern.net essay 2022-03-07 2022-03-25 Discussion of how to teach active reading and questioning of scientific research. Partially fake research papers may teach a critical attitude. Various ideas for games reviewed.
What Is The Collecting Mindset? · Gwern.net essay 2021-03-31 2022-02-25 The activity of manufactured collecting is puzzling; what explains the enormous resources spent on what is, by and large, neither lucrative, prestigious, nor entertaining? Is it just a misfire and qui
Laws of Tech: Commoditize Your Complement · Gwern.net essay 2018-03-17 2022-01-11 A classic pattern in technology economics, identified by Joel Spolsky, is layers of the stack attempting to become monopolies while turning other layers into perfectly-competitive markets which are co
I-Zombies: Hard Problem of Unconsciousness, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2011-12-18 2022-01-08 N/A
One Man’s Modus Ponens · Gwern.net essay 2012-05-01 2022-01-06 <em>One man’s modus ponens is another man’s modus tollens</em> is a saying in Western philosophy encapsulating a common response to a logical proof which generalizes the <em>reductio ad absurdum</em>
The Scaling Hypothesis · Gwern.net essay 2020-05-28 2022-01-02 On GPT-3: meta-learning, scaling, implications, and deep theory. The scaling hypothesis: neural nets absorb data &amp; compute, generalizing and becoming more Bayesian as problems get harder, manifest
Littlewood’s Law and the Global Media · Gwern.net essay 2018-12-15 2022-01-02 Selection effects in media become increasingly strong as populations and media increase, meaning that rare datapoints driven by unusual processes such as the mentally ill or hoaxers are increasingly u
Opera Reviews · Gwern.net essay 2019-02-02 2021-12-03 A compilation of opera reviews since 2019.
Review of Space Battleship Yamato · Gwern.net essay 2021-09-29 2021-12-03 Why is <em>Yamato</em> so influential on a generation of anime otaku and later anime, despite a weak story and compromised production? It offers a fantasy WWII in which Imperial Japan is the hero, and
Dog Cloning For Special Forces: Breed All You Can Breed · Gwern.net essay 2018-09-18 2021-12-02 Decision analysis of whether cloning the most elite Special Forces dogs is a profitable improvement over standard selection procedures. Unless training is extremely cheap or heritability is extremely
Rare Greek Variables · Gwern.net essay 2021-04-08 2021-11-28 I scrape Arxiv to find underused Greek variables which can add some diversity to math; the top 10 underused letters are ϰ, ς, υ, ϖ, Υ, Ξ, ι, ϱ, ϑ, &amp; Π. Avoid overused letters like λ, and spice up
Creatine Cognition Meta-analysis · Gwern.net essay 2013-09-06 2021-11-14 Does creatine increase cognitive performance? Maybe for vegetarians but probably not.
Genetics and Eugenics in Frank Herbert’s Dune-verse · Gwern.net essay 2018-05-05 2021-10-29 Discussion of fictional eugenics program in the SF <em>Dune</em>-verse and how it contradicts contemporary known human genetics but suggests heavy agricultural science and Mendelian inspiration to Fra
What Is It Like To Be A Cat Tail?, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2021-10-17 2021-10-17 N/A
ML Scaling Subreddit, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2020-10-30 2021-08-25 N/A
WBE & DRL: Brain Imitation Learning, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2018-10-20 2021-08-25 N/A
The ‘Screwfly Solution’ Solution: Bi-Sexuality · Gwern.net essay 2021-07-26 2021-08-01 Alice Sheldon’s SF short story ‘The Screwfly Solution’ is misread by most readers as an alien attack driving men to insane violence; a closer revisionist read shows that the alien attack affected <em>
Evolution as Backstop for Reinforcement Learning · Gwern.net essay 2018-12-06 2021-07-04 Markets/evolution as backstops/ground truths for reinforcement learning/optimization: on some connections between Coase’s theory of the firm/linear optimization/DRL/evolution/multicellular life/pain/I
Auto-Smallcaps Filter, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2020-02-19 2021-06-29 N/A
Choose-Your-Own-Adventure AI Dungeon Games · Gwern.net essay 2021-06-06 2021-06-22 Neural networks like GPT-3 power text adventure games where you can do anything; but they are too expensive. I propose that if we turn them into Choose Your Own Adventure hypertext games, they become
Common Selection Scenarios · Gwern.net essay 2021-06-11 2021-06-11 Cookbook of code for common selection &amp; order statistics scenarios in economics, psychology, decision theory, drug development etc.
Crowdsourcing The Best GPT-2-1.5b Poetry, by Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2020-02-09 2021-06-09 N/A
GPT-2 Preference Learning for Music Generation · Gwern.net essay 2019-12-16 2021-06-07 Experiments with OpenAI’s ‘preference learning’ approach, which trains a NN to predict global quality of datapoints, and then uses reinforcement learning to optimize that directly, rather than proxies
Ordinary Incompetence · Gwern.net essay 2021-06-04 2021-06-04 Incompetence is the norm; most people who engage in a task (even when incentivized for performance or engaging in it for countless hours) may still be making basic errors which could be remedied with
Origin of ‘Littlewood’s Law of Miracles’ · Gwern.net essay 2019-02-16 2021-05-18 Leprechaun hunting the origins of the famous skeptical observation that because millions of events are constantly happening, ‘miracles’ happen once a month; it was actually coined by Freeman Dyson.
Progress In Beauty · Gwern.net essay 2016-08-25 2021-05-18 Physical beauty &amp; attractiveness of the general population of men/women seems to have increased greatly in the past few centuries, judging by surviving art/photos, contemporary judgments, and obje
Does Mouse Utopia Exist? · Gwern.net essay 2019-08-12 2021-05-16 Did John Calhoun’s 1960s Mouse Utopia really show that animal (and human) populations will expand to arbitrary densities, creating socially-driven pathology and collapse? Reasons for doubt.
Leprechaun Hunting & Citogenesis · Gwern.net essay 2014-06-30 2021-05-15 List of academic urban legends, and references on how often writers do not check references, which seems to be a major reason for their propagation.
Review Of The Cultural Revolution, Dikötter 2016 · Gwern.net essay 2019-04-27 2021-05-14 The Cultural Revolution was one of the greatest disasters in human history, the result of a self-reinforcing cycle of ideology failing to match reality and unsolved social problems, and the deranged r
Umineko: The Hopium Of The Magics · Gwern.net essay 2018-07-04 2021-05-14 Review of famous light novel series <em>Umineko no Naku Koro ni</em>: it is a highly idiosyncratic, wildly self-indulgent, yet impressive exploration of all possible locked-room mysteries, knocked for
McNamara’s Folly: The Denial of Individual Differences · Gwern.net essay 2018-05-17 2021-05-14 Account of well-intentioned but ill-fated attempt to conscript unintelligent or outright mentally-retarded men into fighting in the Vietnam War after remedial education, illustrating the difficulty of
Race in My Little Pony · Gwern.net essay 2018-06-04 2021-05-14 In MLP:FiM, the 3 pony races sometimes bear offspring of other pony races; I review 4 complicated Mendelian models attempting to explain this, and note that a standard polygenic liability-threshold mo
Fashion Cycles · Gwern.net essay 2021-05-14 2021-05-14 Links on the circularity and mimetic desire basis of fashions in consumer goods, ideologies, politics, organizations like academia, religion etc.
ARPA and SCI: Surfing AI · Gwern.net essay 2018-07-04 2021-05-06 Review of Roland &amp; Shiman 2002 history of a decade of ARPA/DARPA involvement in AI and supercomputing, and the ARPA philosophy of technological acceleration; it yielded mixed results, perhaps due
How Many Computers Are In Your Computer? · Gwern.net essay 2010-01-18 2021-05-05 Any ‘computer’ is made up of hundreds of separate computers plugged together, any of which can be hacked. I list some of these parts.
The sort –key Trick · Gwern.net essay 2014-03-03 2021-05-05 Commandline folklore: sorting files by filename or content before compression can save large amounts of space by exposing redundancy to the compressor. Examples and comparisons of different sorts.
On Seeing Through and Unseeing: The Hacker Mindset · Gwern.net essay 2012-12-09 2021-05-04 Defining the security/hacker mindset as extreme reductionism: ignoring the surface abstractions and limitations to treat a system as a source of parts to manipulate into a different system, with diffe
Computer Optimization: Your Computer Is Faster Than You Think · Gwern.net essay 2021-04-24 2021-04-24 Compilation of links demonstrating that it is common to find order-of-magnitude speedups in software, especially when designed carefully for (extraordinarily powerful) contemporary computer hardware w
Local Optima & Greedy Choices · Gwern.net essay 2021-03-24 2021-03-24 Some interesting links on local optima/greediness/risk-aversion/creative destruction (eg. Porter hypothesis or equity premium puzzle), sometimes demonstrated by disasters.
Darknet Market Archives (2013–2015) · Gwern.net essay 2013-12-01 2021-03-20 Mirrors of ~89 Tor-Bitcoin darknet markets &amp; forums 2011–2015, and related material.
Neon Genesis Evangelion source anthology · Gwern.net essay 2009-09-30 2021-02-10 Extensive anthology of Gainax/Anno/<em>Evangelion</em> quotes, excerpts, sources, references, and analyses, organized by reliability and year.
Anime Neural Net Graveyard · Gwern.net essay 2019-02-04 2021-01-29 Post-mortems of failed neural network experiments in generating anime images, pre-StyleGAN/BigGAN.
Making Anime With BigGAN · Gwern.net essay 2019-02-04 2021-01-29 Experiments in using BigGAN to generate anime faces and whole anime images; semi-successful.
November 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2021-01-09 November 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with links on DL and genomics scaling, dark mode rewrite, 1 essay, and 1 opera review (<em>The Ring</em> cycle).
December 2020 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2019-12-26 2021-01-06 December 2020 Gwern.net newsletter with links on AI and technology; major new site feature: fully-generalized recursive popups.
What If Everyone Was A Clone? · Gwern.net essay 2020-04-04 2021-01-01 Speculative world-building about a clonal humanity, based on identical twins and asexual reproduction.
Banner Ads Considered Harmful · Gwern.net essay 2017-01-08 2020-12-12 9 months of daily A/B-testing of Google AdSense banner ads on Gwern.net indicates banner ads decrease total traffic substantially, possibly due to spillover effects in reader engagement and resharing.
MLP: Immanetizing The Equestrian · Gwern.net essay 2018-10-24 2020-11-30 A meditation on subcultures &amp; review of the cartoon series <em>My Little Pony: Friendship Is Magic</em>, focusing on fandom, plot, development, and meaning of bronydom.
On Development Hell · Gwern.net essay 2020-11-17 2020-11-17 Why do movies or games go through development hell, and usually come out worse, rather than better, and long gestation times do not seem to improve them despite the large resources poured into them by
Blackmail fail · Gwern.net essay 2013-12-10 2020-11-12 In which the author receives surprising offers from kind strangers
Highly Potent Drugs As Psychological Warfare Weapons · Gwern.net essay 2020-08-28 2020-08-28 Chemicals active at the nanogram scale are invisible, difficult to observe, and near-impossible to clean or remove; but they are still psychoactive enough to torment you like demons.
Anime Crop Datasets: Faces, Figures, & Hands, by Gwern Branwen, Arfafax, Shawn Presser, Anonymous, Danbooru Community · Gwern.net essay 2020-05-10 2020-08-05 Description of 3 anime datasets for machine learning based on Danbooru: cropped anime faces, whole-single-character crops, and hand crops (with hand detection model).
Technology Holy Wars are Coordination Problems · Gwern.net essay 2020-06-15 2020-07-09 Flamewars over platforms &amp; upgrades are so bitter not because people are jerks but because the choice will influence entire ecosystems, benefiting one platform through network effects &amp; avoidi
About Gwern · Gwern.net essay 2009-08-05 2020-06-14 Who am I online &amp; what have I done? Contact information; sites I use; computers and software tools; things I’ve worked on; psychological profiles
Hydrocephalus and Intelligence: The Hollow Men · Gwern.net essay 2015-07-28 2020-05-13 Some claim the disease hydrocephalus reduces brain size by 95% but often with normal or even above-average intelligence, and thus brains aren’t really necessary. Neither is true.
GPT-2 Folk Music, by Gwern Branwen, Shawn Presser · Gwern.net essay 2019-11-01 2020-04-25 Generating Irish/folk/classical music in ABC format using GPT-2-117M, with good results.
Magnesium Self-Experiments · Gwern.net essay 2013-05-13 2020-01-31 3 magnesium self-experiments on magnesium <span class="smallcaps">l-</span>threonate and magnesium citrate.
This Waifu Does Not Exist · Gwern.net essay 2019-02-19 2020-01-20 I describe how I made the website ThisWaifuDoesNotExist.net (TWDNE) for displaying random anime faces generated by StyleGAN neural networks, and how it went viral.
Embryo Selection For Intelligence · Gwern.net essay 2016-01-22 2020-01-18 A cost-benefit analysis of the marginal cost of IVF-based embryo selection for intelligence and other traits with 2016–2017 state-of-the-art
Tryon’s Rat Experiment · Gwern.net essay 2020-01-13 2020-01-14 Tryon’s Rat Experiment is a multi-decade selective breeding animal experiment begin in the 1930s which rapidly bred enormous differences in a complex psychological trait, maze-running, demonstrating c
The Most ‘Abandoned’ Books on GoodReads · Gwern.net essay 2019-12-09 2020-01-05 Which books on GoodReads are most difficult to finish? Estimating proportions in December 2019 gives an entirely different result than absolute counts.
Redshift sleep experiment · Gwern.net essay 2012-05-09 2019-12-27 Self-experiment on whether screen-tinting software such as Redshift/f.lux affect sleep times and sleep quality; Redshift lets me sleep earlier but doesn’t improve sleep quality.
The Replication Crisis: Flaws in Mainstream Science · Gwern.net essay 2010-10-27 2019-12-09 2013 discussion of how systemic biases in science, particularly medicine and psychology, have resulted in a research literature filled with false positives and exaggerated effects, called ‘the Replica
Why Correlation Usually ≠ Causation · Gwern.net essay 2014-06-24 2019-12-09 Correlations are oft interpreted as evidence for causation; this is oft falsified; do causal graphs explain why this is so common, because the number of possible indirect paths greatly exceeds the dir
Lithium in ground-water and well-being · Gwern.net essay 2010-10-14 2019-12-07 Lithium is a well-known mood stabilizer &amp; suicide preventive; some research suggests lithium may be a cognitively-protective nutrient and at the population level, chronic lithium consumption (thro
Dual n-Back FAQ · Gwern.net essay 2009-03-25 2019-12-05 A compendium of DNB, WM, IQ information up to 2015.
The Power of Twins: The Scottish Milk Experiment · Gwern.net essay 2016-01-12 2019-11-29 In discussing a large Scottish public health experiment, Student noted that it would’ve been vastly more efficient using a twin experiment design; I fill in the details with a power analysis.
GPT-2 Neural Network Poetry, by Gwern Branwen, Shawn Presser · Gwern.net essay 2019-03-03 2019-10-29 Demonstration tutorial of retraining OpenAI’s GPT-2 (a text-generating Transformer neural network) on large poetry corpuses to generate high-quality English verse.
Solving Pascal’s Mugging with Dynamic Programming · Gwern.net essay 2019-09-12 2019-10-07 Attempt to resolve Pascal’s mugging by examining whether optimal policies with linear utility do in fact engage in ‘mugging’ behavior
Notes on Pascal’s Mugging · Gwern.net essay 2009-12-23 2019-09-13 Attempt to resolve Pascal’s mugging by proposing &amp; justifying a linear prior probability which bounds losses.
Reasons of State: Why Didn’t Denmark Sell Greenland? · Gwern.net essay 2011-01-01 2019-08-17 Exercise in pointing out the obvious: Greenland has been, is, and will be indefinitely, a white elephant. Denmark turned down 100m USD from the USA in 1946; I discuss how this was a bad idea—America g
Genius Revisited Revisited · Gwern.net essay 2016-06-19 2019-07-26 A book study of surveys of the high-IQ elementary school HCES concludes that high IQ is not predictive of accomplishment; I point out that the disappointing results are consistent with the subjects no
How Should We Critique Research? · Gwern.net essay 2019-05-19 2019-07-07 Criticizing studies and statistics is hard in part because so many criticisms are possible, rendering them meaningless. What makes a good criticism is the chance of being a ‘difference which makes a d
LSD microdosing RCT · Gwern.net essay 2012-08-20 2019-06-25 Self-experiment with sub-psychedelic doses of LSD; no benefit
Amusing Ourselves to Death? · Gwern.net essay 2018-05-12 2019-06-25 A suggested x-risk/Great Filter is the possibility of advanced entertainment technology leading to wireheading/mass sterility/population collapse and extinction. As media consumption patterns are high
Timing Technology: Lessons From The Media Lab · Gwern.net essay 2012-07-12 2019-06-20 Technological developments can be foreseen but the knowledge is largely useless because startups are inherently risky and require optimal timing. A more practical approach is to embrace uncertainty, t
Catnip immunity and alternatives · Gwern.net essay 2015-11-07 2019-06-19 Estimation of catnip immunity rates by country with meta-analysis and surveys, and discussion of catnip alternatives.
Hafu Gender Ratios in Anime · Gwern.net essay 2011-04-06 2019-06-14 Race as reflected in gender ratios within fictional bi-racial marriages in anime/manga show equal sex ratios and Western European overrepresentation with striking absence of Korean characters.
How Complex Are Individual Differences? · Gwern.net essay 2010-06-23 2019-06-14 Individual human brains are more predictable and similar than they are different, reflecting low Kolmogorov complexity and implying that beta uploading may be more feasible than guessed, with suggesti
DNM-related arrests, 2011–2015 · Gwern.net essay 2012-07-14 2019-06-13 A census database of all publicly-reported arrests and prosecutions connected to the Tor-Bitcoin drug darknet markets 2011–2015, and analysis of mistakes.
On Having Enough Socks · Gwern.net essay 2017-11-22 2019-06-12 Personal experience and surveys on running out of socks; discussion of socks as small example of human procrastination and irrationality, caused by lack of explicit deliberative thought where no natur
Are Sunk Costs Fallacies? · Gwern.net essay 2012-01-24 2019-06-12 Human and animal sunk costs often aren’t, and sunk cost bias may be useful on an individual level to encourage learning. Convincing examples of sunk cost bias typically operate on organizational level
Darknet Market mortality risks · Gwern.net essay 2013-10-30 2019-06-09 Survival analysis of lifespans, deaths, and predictive factors of Tor-Bitcoin darknet markets
Technology Forecasting: The Garden of Forking Paths · Gwern.net essay 2014-06-01 2019-06-09 Pessimistic forecasters are overconfident in fixating, hedgehog-like, on only <em>one</em> scenario for how they think something <em>must</em> happen; in reality, there are always many ways through th
Complexity no Bar to AI · Gwern.net essay 2014-06-01 2019-06-09 Critics of AI risk suggest diminishing returns to computing (formalized asymptotically) means AI will be weak; this argument relies on a large number of questionable premises and ignoring additional r
‘Scanners Live in Vain’ as realistic SF · Gwern.net essay 2013-06-28 2019-06-05 Discussion of Cordwainer Smith SF story, arguing that the pain-of-space is based on forgotten psychological issues in air travel, and concerns about worse ones in space travel, which were partially vi
Spaced Repetition for Efficient Learning · Gwern.net essay 2009-03-11 2019-05-17 Efficient memorization using the spacing effect: literature review of widespread applicability, tips on use &amp; what it’s good for.
Prediction Markets · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-10 2019-05-16 My prediction/betting strategies and track record, reflections on rationality, prediction judgments
Time-lock encryption · Gwern.net essay 2011-05-24 2019-05-06 How do you encrypt a file such that it can be decrypted after a date, but not before? Use serial computations for proof-of-work using successive squaring, chained hashes, or witness encryption on bloc
On the Existence of Powerful Natural Languages · Gwern.net essay 2016-12-18 2019-05-05 A common dream in philosophy and politics and religion is the idea of languages superior to evolved demotics, whether Latin or Lojban, which grant speakers greater insight into reality and rationality
The Narrowing Circle · Gwern.net essay 2012-04-24 2019-04-27 Modern ethics excludes as many beings as it includes.
The Explore-Exploit Dilemma in Media Consumption · Gwern.net essay 2016-12-24 2019-04-14 How much should we rewatch our favorite movies (media) vs keep trying new movies? Most spend most viewing time on new movies, which is unlikely to be good. I suggest an explicit Bayesian model of impr
Embryo editing for intelligence · Gwern.net essay 2016-01-22 2019-04-04 Preliminary draft notes towards a cost-benefit analysis of CRISPR-based editing for complex human traits with 2015–2016 SOTAs; obsolete.
Predicting Google closures · Gwern.net essay 2013-03-28 2019-04-04 Analyzing predictors of Google abandoning products; predicting future shutdowns
December 2013 News · Gwern.net newsletter 2014-01-01 2019-03-29
RNN Metadata for Mimicking Author Style · Gwern.net essay 2015-09-12 2019-03-26 Teaching a text-generating char-RNN to automatically imitate many different authors by labeling the input text by author; additional experiments include imitating Geocities and retraining GPT-2 on a l
An Abortion Dialogue · Gwern.net essay 2008-11-10 2019-03-05 Dialogue pointing out some difficulties of materialist objections to abortion.
Music and distraction · Gwern.net essay 2012-09-26 2019-03-03 Does music impede studying and thinking?
The Ones Who Walk Towards Acre · Gwern.net essay 2010-12-21 2019-02-24 Short story on assassination markets.
The Mulberry Tree · Gwern.net essay 2010-10-12 2019-02-24 Essay on writing &amp; rewriting short tanka
The Palace of Wonders · Gwern.net essay 2011-05-23 2019-02-24 A Borgesian fable about the Caliph and the Koran.
The Last Muezzin · Gwern.net essay 2011-06-15 2019-02-06 Another tribute to Borges; you can be me when I’m gone.
The Melancholy of Subculture Society · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-12 2019-02-05 Internet links small groups, helping dissolve big groups; good, bad? But a bit sad.
History of Iterated Embryo Selection · Gwern.net essay 2019-01-18 2019-01-19 The multiple-invention (&gt;3) history of the idea of extremely-powerful embryo selection by using gametogenesis to run many ‘generations’ in vitro.
Nootropics · Gwern.net essay 2010-01-02 2018-12-20 Notes on nootropics I tried, and my experiments
The Kelly Coin-Flipping Game: Exact Solutions, by Gwern Branwen, Arthur Breitman, nshepperd, FeepingCreature, Gurkenglas · Gwern.net essay 2017-01-19 2018-12-12 Decision-theoretic analysis of how to optimally play the Haghani &amp; Dewey 2016 300-round double-or-nothing coin-flipping game with an edge and ceiling better than using the Kelly Criterion. Computi
World Catnip Surveys · Gwern.net essay 2015-11-15 2018-12-02 International population online surveys of cat owners about catnip and other cat stimulant use.
Dual n-Back Meta-Analysis · Gwern.net essay 2012-05-20 2018-11-30 Does DNB increase IQ? What factors affect the studies? Probably not: gains are driven by studies with weakest methodology like apathetic control groups.
Electric vs Stove Kettle · Gwern.net essay 2015-02-28 2018-11-29 I compare my electric tea kettle to my stove kettle, and apply some simple statistical modeling verifying the electric is faster.
In Defense of Inclusionism · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-15 2018-11-28 Iron Law of Bureaucracy: the downwards deletionism spiral discourages contribution and is how Wikipedia will die.
Bitcoin Is Worse Is Better · Gwern.net essay 2011-05-27 2018-11-21 2011 essay on how Bitcoin’s long gestation and early opposition indicates it is an example of the ‘Worse is Better’ paradigm in which an ugly complex design with few attractive theoretical properties
Life Extension Cost-Benefits · Gwern.net essay 2015-06-01 2018-10-26 Attempts at considering the profitability of life-extension interventions for healthy adults
Mead · Gwern.net essay 2012-05-02 2018-10-25 Ratings of mead and fruit wines I have tried.
Silk Road 1: Theory & Practice · Gwern.net essay 2011-07-11 2018-09-29 History, background, visiting, ordering, using, &amp; analyzing the drug market Silk Road 1
The Morality of Sperm Donation · Gwern.net essay 2012-07-20 2018-09-02 Is sperm donating a worthwhile form of positive eugenics?
The Hyperbolic Time Chamber & Brain Emulation · Gwern.net essay 2012-08-29 2018-09-02 A time dilation chamber as thought experiment on the power of pure thought, with comparison to computer AGI advantages/disadvantages.
The Melancholy of Kyon · Gwern.net essay 2009-06-08 2018-09-01 Literary analysis of the light novel/anime series <em>The Melancholy of Haruhi Suzumiya</em>: Haruhi is not God, Kyon is
Why Tool AIs Want to Be Agent AIs · Gwern.net essay 2016-09-07 2018-08-28 AIs limited to pure computation (Tool AIs) supporting humans, will be less intelligent, efficient, and economically valuable than more autonomous reinforcement-learning AIs (Agent AIs) who act on thei
Resorting Media Ratings · Gwern.net essay 2015-09-07 2018-08-15 Commandline tool providing interactive statistical pairwise ranking and sorting of items
Modafinil community survey · Gwern.net essay 2015-06-01 2018-06-21 2015 survey of online modafinil users asking about dosages, consumption patterns, ratings, purchases, and demographics
‘Story Of Your Life’ Is Not A Time-Travel Story · Gwern.net essay 2012-12-12 2018-06-11 Famous Ted Chiang SF short story ‘Story Of Your Life’ is usually misinterpreted as, like the movie version <em>Arrival</em>, being about time-travel/precognition; I explain it is instead an exploratio
LWer Effective Altruism donations, 2013–2014 · Gwern.net essay 2015-05-12 2018-06-09 Analysis of 2013–2014 LessWrong survey results on how much more self-identified EAers donate suggests low median donation rates due to current youth and low incomes.
Dune notes · Gwern.net essay 2010-10-18 2018-06-08 Observations on Frank Herbert’s <em>Dune</em> series—the notes are probably overstated, the Butlerian Jihad was <em>not</em> a robot uprising seeking to exterminate humanity, and precognition/prescien
Modafinil · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-20 2018-06-04 Effects, health concerns, suppliers, prices &amp; rational ordering.
The Algernon Argument · Gwern.net essay 2010-03-23 2018-06-03 Why most supplements fail: IQ improvement skepticism, Yudkowsky &amp; Bostrom’s heuristics, nootropics
Bacopa Quasi-Experiment · Gwern.net essay 2014-05-06 2018-05-17 A small 2014–2015 non-blinded self-experiment using <em>Bacopa monnieri</em> to investigate effect on memory/sleep/self-ratings in an ABABA design; no particular effects were found.
ZMA Sleep Experiment · Gwern.net essay 2017-03-13 2018-05-17 A randomized blinded self-experiment of the effects of ZMA (zinc+magnesium+vitamin B6) on my sleep; results suggest small benefit to sleep quality but are underpowered and damaged by Zeo measurement e
Zeo sleep self-experiments · Gwern.net essay 2010-12-28 2018-02-28 EEG recordings of sleep and my experiments with things affecting sleep quality or durations: melatonin, potassium, vitamin D etc.
Long Bets as Charitable Giving Opportunity · Gwern.net essay 2017-02-24 2018-02-24 Evaluating Long Bets as a prediction market shows it is dysfunctional and poorly-structured; despite the irrationality of many users, it is not good even as a way to raise money for charity.
When Should I Check The Mail? · Gwern.net essay 2015-06-21 2018-02-24 Bayesian decision-theoretic analysis of local mail delivery times: modeling deliveries as survival analysis, model comparison, optimizing check times with a loss function, and optimal data collection.
Biased information as anti-information · Gwern.net essay 2012-10-19 2018-01-07 Filtered data for a belief can rationally push you away from that belief
Easy Cryptographic Timestamping of Files · Gwern.net essay 2015-12-04 2017-12-16 Scripts for convenient free secure Bitcoin-based dating of large numbers of files/strings
Death Note: L, Anonymity & Eluding Entropy · Gwern.net essay 2011-05-04 2017-12-15 Applied Computer Science: On Murder Considered As STEM Field—using information theory to quantify the magnitude of Light Yagami’s mistakes in <em>Death Note</em> and considering fixes
CO₂/ventilation sleep experiment · Gwern.net essay 2016-06-05 2017-10-29 Self-experiment on whether changes in bedroom CO<sub>2</sub> levels affect sleep quality
Slowing Moore’s Law: How It Could Happen · Gwern.net essay 2012-03-16 2017-10-09 Weak points in the networks powering technological progress: chip factories
Summers of Code, 2006–2013 · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-11 2017-09-22 A retrospective of 8 years of SoC, and lessons learned
Writing a Wikipedia Link Archive Bot · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2017-09-08 Haskell: tutorial on writing a daemon to archive links in Wikipedia articles with TagSoup and WebCite; obsolete.
Iodine and Adult IQ meta-analysis · Gwern.net essay 2012-02-29 2017-07-18 Iodine improves IQ in fetuses; adults as well? A meta-analysis of relevant studies says no.
HP: Methods of Rationality review statistics · Gwern.net essay 2012-11-03 2017-06-18 Statistically modeling reviews for ongoing story with R.
Lunar circadian rhythms · Gwern.net essay 2013-07-26 2017-06-18 Is sleep affected by the phase of the moon? An analysis of several years of 4 Zeo users’ sleep data shows no lunar cycle.
Men of Iron · Gwern.net essay 2012-12-24 2017-06-04 What-if Chiang-style SF story on iron vanishing and the Great Silence
Notes on Evangelion · Gwern.net essay 2010-02-03 2017-05-14 <em>Evangelion</em> thoughts—anti-religion, pro-psychology, character development, otaku genre.
Terrorism Is Not Effective · Gwern.net essay 2009-04-14 2017-04-21 More effective ways to kill = terrorists are stupid, or killing not most important thing to them
Terrorism Is Not About Terror · Gwern.net essay 2009-04-09 2017-04-21 Terrorists act irrationally from a rational activism perspective, and groups act in ways most consistent with terrorism being about social status and belonging
Cultural drift: cleaning methods · Gwern.net essay 2013-05-07 2017-03-26 Forgotten chores and their use by Romanticism
The Three Grenades and the Four Noble Truths · Gwern.net essay 2008-11-24 2017-02-08 CMU game connected to error coding theory
The IQ Halo effect · Gwern.net essay 2013-04-01 2017-02-02 On desirable correlates of intelligence
Internet WiFi improvement · Gwern.net essay 2016-10-20 2017-01-05 After putting up with slow glitchy WiFi Internet for years, I investigate improvements. Upgrading the router, switching to a high-gain antenna, and installing a buried Ethernet cable all offer increas
AI Risk Demos · Gwern.net essay 2016-12-23 2016-12-23 Simple demonstrations of the AI control problem using MCTS in a Gridworld
Wooden Pillow · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2016-12-22 China &amp; Egypt used wooden pillows; my recreations fail
Potassium sleep experiments · Gwern.net essay 2012-12-21 2016-11-15 2 self-experiments on potassium citrate effects on sleep: harm to sleep when taken daily or in the morning
Vitamin D sleep experiments · Gwern.net essay 2012-01-01 2016-11-10 Self-experiment on vitamin D effects on sleep: harmful taken at night, no or beneficial effects when taken in the morning.
Caffeine wakeup experiment · Gwern.net essay 2013-04-07 2016-11-10 Self-experiment on whether consuming caffeine immediately upon waking results in less time in bed &amp; higher productivity. The results indicate a small and uncertain effect.
Treadmill desk observations · Gwern.net essay 2012-06-19 2016-10-29 Notes relating to my use of a treadmill desk and 2 self-experiments showing walking treadmill use interferes with typing and memory performance.
On Really Trying · Gwern.net essay 2009-06-23 2016-09-16 What are the true limits to motivation?
Candy Japan’s new box A/B test · Gwern.net essay 2016-05-06 2016-08-26 Bayesian decision-theoretic analysis of the effect of fancier packaging on subscription cancellations &amp; optimal experiment design.
The Erl King · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2016-08-20 Fairy tale tragedy, or, a lesson in courtesy and logic
Bitter Melon for blood glucose · Gwern.net essay 2015-09-14 2016-07-29 Analysis of whether bitter melon reduces blood glucose in one self-experiment and utility of further self-experimentation
Wikipedia Résumé · Gwern.net essay 2010-10-18 2016-07-13 A precis of my old work on the English Wikipedia, 2004–2017 (edit counts, articles by subject, and particularly notable articles)
Diet Variance: Soylent study · Gwern.net essay 2013-05-22 2016-07-11 Proposal to use meal-replacements to partition daily variance in mood/productivity between diet and other factors
Who Wrote The Death Note Script? · Gwern.net essay 2009-11-02 2016-04-27 Internal, external, stylometric evidence point to live-action leak of <em>Death Note</em> Hollywood script being real.
Nicotine · Gwern.net essay 2011-05-09 2016-03-06 On the benefits and lack of demerits of nicotine (research up to 2015)
LessWrong and cryonics · Gwern.net essay 2013-01-01 2016-03-05 How does LessWrong usage correlate with cryonics attitudes and signup rates?
Conscientiousness & Online Education · Gwern.net essay 2012-07-20 2016-01-20 Technology-driven shift in demand for Conscientiousness, not intelligence
Weather and My Productivity · Gwern.net essay 2013-03-19 2015-12-18 Rain or shine affect my mood? Not much.
Hacker News submission analysis · Gwern.net essay 2013-09-25 2015-12-01 Describing HN submissions; estimating manipulability
Charity is not about Helping · Gwern.net essay 2011-09-15 2015-09-12 Simple cost-benefit: distributed computing considered harmful as scientific lemon projects run at high resource cost.
Buckminster Fuller’s fog gun · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-13 2015-08-12 Remaining materials towards one day building and trying out a real fog gun
2013 LLLT self-experiment · Gwern.net essay 2013-12-20 2015-08-12 An LLLT user’s blinded randomized self-experiment in 2013 on the effects of near-infrared light on a simple cognitive test battery: positive results
Culture Is Not About Esthetics · Gwern.net essay 2009-07-16 2015-07-05 Aesthetically &amp; economically, maybe there is too much new art. Don’t take this too seriously.
2012 election predictions · Gwern.net essay 2012-11-05 2015-04-21 Compiling academic and media forecaster’s 2012 American Presidential election predictions and statistically judging correctness; Nate Silver was not the best.
Education is not about Learning · Gwern.net essay 2009-07-25 2015-02-28 Examples of low-hanging fruit suggesting the education system does not solely optimize for learning
Touhou music by the numbers · Gwern.net essay 2013-02-28 2015-02-28 Collect music metadata and look for patterns
Girl Scouts & Good Corporate Governance · Gwern.net essay 2011-04-21 2015-02-15 Cookie prices &amp; tax filings as evidence of corporate inefficiency
Melatonin · Gwern.net essay 2008-12-19 2015-02-14 Melatonin improves sleep, &amp; sleep is valuable
Isomorphisms & Meaning · Gwern.net essay 2009-04-25 2015-01-03 Haskell juvenilia, reinventing entry-level math wheels, of no interest to anyone; investigating when two theories or representations <em>mean</em> the same things.
Bitcoin donations on The Pirate Bay · Gwern.net essay 2014-02-25 2014-12-10 Downloading and parsing TPB metadata to estimate Bitcoin usage and revenue for uploaders
2014 Spirulina randomized self-experiment · Gwern.net essay 2014-10-05 2014-11-27 Spirulina users’ randomized trial on self-rated allergy symptoms: null result.
Plastination versus Cryonics · Gwern.net essay 2011-07-24 2014-10-22 Break down survival as Drake equation, see how plastination differs from cryonics, try to calculate advantage
Why Anime? · Gwern.net essay 2011-02-12 2014-09-14 Objectively, anime/manga better than American alternatives. So why the need to justify?
Ethics of Lithotomy · Gwern.net essay 2014-09-09 2014-09-09 Using modern statistical analysis, how quickly should improved bladder stone surgical methods have been adopted?
Ontological Pantheism · Gwern.net essay 2009-11-09 2014-07-11 Descartes’s God is pantheism; a reductio ad absurdum of his ontology
On Stress · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2014-06-24 Stoic meditation with reference to being homeless. Written to myself at a particularly low point; like many, I take comfort in considering how things could be worse.
Two Simple Happenings · Gwern.net essay 2014-06-16 2014-06-17 Short story; psychological horror
Against Copyright · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2014-05-04 Copyright considered paradoxical, incoherent, and harmful from an information theory and compression perspective as there is no natural kind corresponding to ‘works’, merely longer or shorter strings
Methods of Rationality predictions · Gwern.net essay 2012-03-25 2014-03-07 Recording fan speculation for retrospectives
Poems on the theme of Genshiken · Gwern.net essay 2011-07-24 2014-02-23 Waka/haiku on <em>Genshiken</em>, clubs, and Comiket; allusions to Fujiwara no Teika and Shōtetsu.
Gilles Goullet, Author of the Blindsight · Gwern.net essay 2010-09-01 2014-02-20 A parody of SF, the Internet, and Borges.
LW anchoring experiment · Gwern.net essay 2012-02-27 2014-02-17 Do mindless positive/negative comments skew article quality ratings up and down?
Scientific stagnation · Gwern.net essay 2012-02-24 2013-12-30 Shrinking marginal returns to science and technology
Alerts Over Time · Gwern.net essay 2013-07-01 2013-11-26 Does Google Alerts return fewer results each year? A statistical investigation
Wikipedia & YouTube · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-15 2013-11-08 Why Wikipedia and YouTube will never be integrated.
Evolutionary Software Licenses · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-27 2013-10-31 Game theory on BSD versus GPL: partnership? Is GPL an evolutionary stable strategy against invasion by proprietary copyright strategies?
Archiving GitHub · Gwern.net essay 2011-03-20 2013-10-28 Scraping and downloading Haskell-related repositories from GitHub
SICP Chapter 1.1 notes · Gwern.net essay 2009-03-14 2013-10-02 Syntax, function definitions
Lifelogging · Gwern.net essay 2009-10-17 2013-09-10 Thoughts on uses and a categorization of said uses for lifelogging
Aria’s Past, Present, and Future · Gwern.net essay 2011-07-13 2013-08-03 On divining the esoteric truth of Neo-Venezia through holes in world-building.
2013 Lewis meditation results · Gwern.net essay 2013-07-12 2013-07-25 Multilevel modeling of effect of small group’s meditation on math errors
Parody in Full Metal Panic! · Gwern.net essay 2008-10-09 2013-07-01 The unexpected critical depths of a single throw-away scene
Colder Wars · Gwern.net essay 2009-06-07 2013-06-22 MAD will not work in outer space; pre-emptive strikes are nigh-guaranteed.
Wikipedia & Knol: Why Knol Already Failed · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-21 2013-05-04 Why Knol is worse than Wikipedia, has failed, and will continue to fail.
Komm Susser Tod · Gwern.net essay 2010-11-05 2013-04-03 Perspective and interpretation
Wikipedia and Dark Side Editing · Gwern.net essay 2009-05-24 2013-02-16 Cynical tactics encouraged by Wikipedia’s abdication of thought known as ‘No Original Research’ and ‘Reliable Sources’
NGE Rebuild Predictions · Gwern.net essay 2011-03-03 2013-02-05 a comprehensive taxonomy of predictions on future Evangelion media
Final Gifts · Gwern.net essay 2013-01-24 2013-01-24 A poem for the end of history
Golfing Run Length Encoding in Haskell · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2013-01-16 Haskell: step by step refactoring to concision
Death Note’s Ending · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-29 2012-12-10 Ambiguous ending of <em>Death Note</em> means even the victor is unclear; who was right?
Writing a Wikipedia RSS Link Archive Bot · Gwern.net essay 2009-11-02 2012-11-05 Archiving using Wikipedia Recent Changes RSS feed (obsolete).
Choosing Software · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2012-10-28 Criteria making software useful long-term &amp; worth learning in detail
Distinguishing sources of religion by their experiential differences · Gwern.net essay 2009-12-22 2012-10-09 Does the convergence of religious experiences point to a shared truth?
Insert, Abort, Retry? · Gwern.net essay 2012-08-02 2012-08-02 <em>Fullmetal Alchemist</em> insert meta-fiction
Life contracts · Gwern.net essay 2009-11-02 2012-07-30 How I reinvented longevity insurance, which provides payouts if one lives to a certain point and thus might run out of savings.
SICP Introduction · Gwern.net essay 2009-03-14 2012-07-28 Links to various resources for SICP studying
The Safecracker of Hearts · Gwern.net essay 2009-08-15 2012-06-28 The thief of time gives us memories, the safecracker of hearts restores them.
Wikipedia and Other Wikis · Gwern.net essay 2009-01-27 2012-05-12 Network effects &amp; benefits of gritting one’s teeth &amp; submitting to a Wikipedia’s rules, rather than using Wikia or one’s own site.
Simulation Inferences · Gwern.net essay 2009-05-29 2012-04-15 How small must be the computer simulating the universe?
The Presocratic’s Logical Path to Atomism · Gwern.net essay 2010-11-06 2012-03-06 How and why did they deduce atomism?
Intermittent Fasting · Gwern.net essay 2011-11-20 2012-02-21 Tricking the body into living longer?
Console Insurance Is A Ripoff · Gwern.net essay 2009-03-10 2012-02-02 Back of envelope financial calculations: Warranties, fine; insurance, no!
Hypertime in Haskell · Gwern.net essay 2012-01-10 2012-01-10 Implementing the Hypertime multiverse model of time travel in Haskell
Against the Miletians and the One True Element · Gwern.net essay 2008-10-17 2011-11-25 Exploring consequences of material monism and conflict with observations
The Snowbanks of Time · Gwern.net essay 2011-01-15 2011-11-22 Essay on writing <em>waka</em> on truth &amp; lies
SICP Chapter 1.3 · Gwern.net essay 2010-01-09 2011-08-13 Generalizing functions with hardwired values
Dinosaur Comics comics · Gwern.net essay 2011-06-10 2011-06-10 Comics using the format of Ryan North’s <em>Dinosaur Comics</em>
Resilient Haskell Software · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2011-02-12 Lessons learned about bitrot in Haskell software
Barratry · Gwern.net essay 2009-11-02 2011-02-03 Re-inventing anarcho-capitalism in a French context.
The Buddha’s Wheel · Gwern.net essay 2008-11-30 2010-12-17 The enlightened is as one with cause and effect.
Gryyfins of the Word · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2010-12-14 Incomplete story, notes towards an imitation of <em>Foucault’s Pendulum</em> or <em>From Hell</em> in history-as-horror and re-enchating the world. Probably unwritable, but see ‘October’ for a more vi
Missing Cities · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-01 2010-12-03 3 short stories in the style of Italo Calvino’s <em>Missing Cities</em>.
Brave Poem · Gwern.net essay 2010-11-13 2010-11-13 Poem on memory inspired by the anime <em>Angel Beats!</em>; do you remember love?
Immoral Books · Gwern.net essay 2010-01-24 2010-01-24 Argument that texts are neither moral nor immoral as they require active interpretation.
SICP Chapter 1.2 notes · Gwern.net essay 2009-04-09 2010-01-09 recursion into iteration; primality testing
The Case of PenPen · Gwern.net essay 2010-01-03 2010-01-03 A parody of <em>Evangelion</em> where PenPen leads Instrumentality.
Dying Outside · Gwern.net essay 2009-12-12 2009-12-12 Poem about Hal Finney announcing beginning tracheostomy before dying of ALS.
A Human Story · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-17 2009-02-17 The mutability of memory
Cloud Nine · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2009-02-09 Unfinished fantasy/SF novel
On Disrespect · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-09 2009-02-09 An attempt to reinvent classic theories of social interaction as expressions of power
How the Panther Got Black · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-02 2009-02-02 Mythic short story in the vein of Kipling’s Just-so Stories
Hybrid Rainbow · Gwern.net essay 2009-02-01 2009-02-01 Poem about man &amp; his machines.
On Justifications · Gwern.net essay 2008-09-26 2009-01-16 Philosophical fiction or a prose poem about suffering innocents and the theodicy
The Jaguars of God · Gwern.net essay 2008-12-03 2008-12-03 A dream of a strange judgment day
Dream · Gwern.net essay 2008-12-03 2008-12-03 An old childhood dream about WWI trench warfare.
Before Dawn · Gwern.net essay 2008-12-03 2008-12-03 Alliterative verse about staying up all night
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